农产品策略年报（豆类）：美洲大豆或减产，生猪产能落地豆粕需求预增

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1、中信期货研究

2、策略年报（豆类）目录报告摘要................................................................................................................................................................1一、2017年行情回顾...........................................................................................

3、.................................................4二、2018年市场解析与预测..................................................................................................................................6（一）宏观背景..................................................................................

4、.........................................................6（二）国际市场...........................................................................................................................................6（三）国内市场........................................................................

5、.................................................................12三、2018年投资策略..........................................................................................................................................16（一）趋势.............................................................

6、...................................................................................16（二）跨品种套利.....................................................................................................................................17（三）期权...................................................

7、.............................................................................................19免责声明..............................................................................................................................................................20图目录图1:CBOT大豆收盘价和成交量、持仓量..

8、....................................................................................................4图2:DCE豆粕收盘价和成交量、持仓量.........................................................................................................4图3:CBOT大豆2017年走势图.........................................

9、............