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1、MULTI-ASSETCHINAFebruary2018By:WilliamBrattonandDilipShahanihttps://www.research.hsbc.comChinamulti-assetspecialWelcometotheYearoftheDogChina’seconomylookssetforanothergoodyearWeexpecttoseesolidgrowth,benigninflation,andastrongerRMBThisreportsummarisestheviewsofourmac
2、roteams,equityanalystsandstrategistsPlaythevideoDisclaimer&Disclosures:ThisreportmustbereadwiththedisclosuresandtheanalystcertificationsintheDisclosureappendix,andwiththeDisclaimer,whichformspartofitMULTI-ASSET●CHINAFebruary2018ExecutivesummaryAsweheadintotheYearo
3、ftheDog,weofferclientsamulti-assetMiFIDII–ResearchIsyouraccessagreed?summaryofourviewsonChina.ItincludesthethoughtsofourCONTACTustodaymacroteamsontheeconomy,FX,rates,credit,andclimatechange,aswellas2018outlookpiecesandthematicreportsbyequityanalystsandstrategists.And,
4、forthefirsttime,weincludetheworkofourjointventure,HSBCQianhaiSecurities,whichwaslaunchedinDecember.ThemessageaboutthebigAfterayearofresilient,steadygrowth,stableinflationandasturdyperformancebytheRMB,pictureisgenerallybullishourmacroandequityanalystspresenttheirideasa
5、boutwhat’sinstoreforChina’seconomyintheYearoftheDog.Despitetherecentmarketvolatility,themessageaboutthebigpictureisgenerallybullish.Asidefromtherobustperformanceontheeconomicfront,thecountryistakingstepstoreducerisksinthehighlyleveragedfinancialsystem,theupgradingofth
6、eindustrialbaseisgatheringpace,exportgrowthispickingupandthehousingmarketisstartingtoslowdownafteraperiodoffranticgrowth.OurthematicreportscovereverythingfromChina’srapidascentofthetechnologyladderandthegrowthofinnovationandautomation,totheinfluenceITrecruitmentishavi
7、ngontherealestatemarketandthemuch-neededreformofstate-ownedenterprises.Onthesubjectofclimatechange,welookathowtheambitiousBeltandRoadInitiativecanbebotheconomicallysustainableandenvironmentallyfriendly.AndwealsowanttotalkaboutA-shares.InDecemberwelaunchedajointventure
8、,HSBCQianhaiSecurities,throughwhichHSBCwillsignificantlyexpanditsonshoreresearchcoverageofChina’sA-sharemarket.Theinitiative