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1、13August2017AsiaSemiconductorEQUITIESTECHNOLOGYDaysofinventorycomingdown,butfarfromleanHongKongPost2Q17results,wetakeacloserlookatsemiconductorStevenPelayo,CFAinventorylevelsfor20leadingfoundrycustomersRegionalHeadofTechnologyResearchTheHongkongandShanghaiBanki
2、ngCorporationLimited2Qinventorystillup3%q-o-qindollars,butdaysofinventorystevenpelayo@hsbc.com.hk+85228224391down4daysAngusLin*ResearchAssociate,TechnologySeasonalityandproductlaunchestodriverampupthroughyearTheHongkongandShanghaiBankingCorporationLimitedend,yetin
3、itialmid-yearchipinventorylevelsfarfromleanangus.s.h.lin@hsbc.com.hk+85297631285Semiconductorinventorystillmixedpost2Q17.Basedonoursampleof20leading*Employedbyanon-USaffiliateofHSBCSecurities(USA)Inc,andisfoundrycustomers,weestimatedaysofinventory(DOI)levelsattheend
4、of2Q17notregistered/qualifiedpursuanttoFINRAregulationspurgedbyfourdays(excludingIntel).Theoveralllevelofinventoryisstillfarfrom“lean”andremainsrelativelyhigh.Further,overalltrendsarenotconsistentbyendmarket,withmajorplayersseeingbothbuildsandpurgesinthesamesegments
5、.SomeofthebiggestinventorydecreasescamefromQualcomm(QCOMUS,NR),NVidia(NVDAUS,NR),AMD(AMDUS,NR),Xilinx(XLNXUS,NR),andCypress(CYUS,NR)whichallsaw9-plusdaysofinventorypurgedin2Q17.DecreasesatGPUsuppliersAMDandNVidiawereonenotabletrendbasedonstrongdemandfromgaming,AI/de
6、eplearning,andinparticularcryptocurrencyminingapplications.Others,suchasMicrochip(MCHPUS,NR)stated“inventorydayswereat7-yearlows”and“despitecapacityincreases,wearehardlykeepingpacewithdemand”.STMicro(STMUS,NR)stated“inventorywashealthy”withproductindistribution“real
7、lylow”.Onthenegativeside,companiessuchasIntel(INTCUS,NR),MediaTek(2454TT,TWD280,Buy),Qorvo(QRVOUS,NR),CirrusLogic(CRUSUS,NR),NXP(NXPIUS,NR),andTexasInstruments(TXNUS,NR)allsawincreasesinDOIq-o-q.WenotemanagementatIntel,whichsawan8dayq-o-qincreaseinDOI,statedonitsear
8、ningscallthat“channelinventoriesarehigherthanthelastcoupleofquarters”.Thosecompaniesthatbuiltinventorypointedto:a)seasonalityaheadofmajorp