亚开行-新兴市场经济分歧对全球和国内货币政策冲击的响应(英文)

亚开行-新兴市场经济分歧对全球和国内货币政策冲击的响应(英文)

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大小:1.55 MB

页数:30页

时间:2018-03-10

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1、DivergentEmergingMarketEconomyResponsestoGlobalandDomesticMonetaryPolicyShocksBuildingonattemptstogaugetheimpactpolicychangesinadvancedeconomieshaveonemergingeconomies,thispaperinvestigateshowtheUnitedStates(US)anddomesticmonetarypolicyratesaffectmacroeconomicconditionsinemergingm

2、arketeconomies(EMEs).FindingsindicatethattheimpactofUSpolicyratehikesoutstripstheeffectsassociatedwithdomesticratehikesinEMEs.WhenUSmonetarypolicytightens,bondandequitymarketsinEMEsarepronetoexperiencingoutflows.Resultsalsoshowthatbondflowsaremoresensitivetointerestratedifferentia

3、lsthanareequityflows.ItisalsofoundthatthemagnitudeoftheeffectsvarieswithinthegroupofEMEs,withgreateroutputvariationsinthoseEMEswithhigherinflation.Consequently,domesticpolicyaloneisnotenoughtocounteracttheeffectsofglobalpolicyshocksoncapitalflowsinEMEs.DivERGENtEMERGiNGAbouttheAsi

4、anDevelopmentBankMARkEtEcONOMyRESPONSESADB’svisionisanAsiaandPacificregionfreeofpoverty.Itsmissionistohelpitsdevelopingmembercountriesreducepovertyandimprovethequalityoflifeoftheirpeople.Despitetheregion’smanysuccesses,tOGlOBAlANDDOMESticitremainshometoalargeshareoftheworld’spoor.

5、ADBiscommittedtoreducingpovertythroughinclusiveeconomicgrowth,environmentallysustainablegrowth,andregionalintegration.MONEtARyPOlicyShOckSBasedinManila,ADBisownedby67members,including48fromtheregion.Itsmaininstrumentsforhelpingitsdevelopingmembercountriesarepolicydialogue,loans,eq

6、uityinvestments,guarantees,grants,andtechnicalassistance.WoonGyuChoi,TaesuKang,Geun-YoungKim,andByongjuLeeNO.532adbeconomicsdecember2017workingpaperseriesAsiAnDevelopmentBAnk6ADBAvenue,MandaluyongCity1550MetroManila,PhilippinesASIANDEVELOPMENTBANKwww.adb.orgADBEconomicsWorkingPape

7、rSeriesDivergentEmergingMarketEconomyResponsestoGlobalandDomesticMonetaryPolicyShocksWoonGyuChoi,TaesuKang,WoonGyuChoi(wchoi@imf.org)isasenioreconomistattheInstituteforCapacityDevelopment,InternationalGeun-YoungKim,andByongjuLeeMonetaryFund(IMF);TaesuKang(tskang@bok.or.kr)isaNo.53

8、2

9、December2017senioreconomistatth

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