handbook of knowledge society foresight [2003]外语英文电子书

《handbook of knowledge society foresight [2003]外语英文电子书》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。

1、EuropeanFoundationfortheImprovementofLivingandWorkingConditionsHandbookofKnowledgeSocietyForesightExecutivesummaryIntroductionForesightintheknowledgesocietyMainmethodsandissuesApproachestoforecastingGeneratingstrategicintelligenceScenariosinknowledgesocietyforesightPlanningandactionEvaluatingoutco

2、mesConcludingremarksAnnexes:AnnexA,AnnexB,AnnexCForfullContentsclickhereThishandbookisavailableinelectronicformatonlyWyattvilleRoad,Loughlinstown,Dublin18,Ireland.-Tel:(+3531)2043100-Fax:2824209/2826456e-mail:postmaster@eurofound.eu.int-website:www.eurofound.eu.intContentsExecutivesummary1.Introdu

3、ction1.1Whoandwhatisthishandbookfor?1.2Whatisthestructureofthehandbook?1.3Whatadditionalresourcesareavailable?2.Foresightintheknowledgesociety2.0Introduction2.1Theknowledgesociety2.2Foresight3.Mainmethodsandissues3.0Introduction3.1Whatarethemaindecisionstobemadeaboutaforesightexercise?3.2Howwillth

4、efocusofknowledgesocietyforesightbedetermined?3.3Howcantheareasthatrequireattentionbeidentified?3.4Whatisthemostsuitabletimehorizon?3.5Whowillpayandhowlongwillittake?3.6Whatmethodscanbeusedtoidentifyrelevantexpertiseandstakeholders?3.7Whatmethodscanbeusedforraisingawarenessandbuildingsupport?3.8Wh

5、atarethetypicalapproachesfororganisingandmanagingforesightactivities?4.Approachestoforecasting4.0Introduction:theuseofforecastingmethodsinknowledgesocietyforesight4.1Forecastingapproachesmainlybasedonexpertjudgement4.2Forecastingapproachesmainlybasedonstatisticalormathematicalanalysis5.Generatings

6、trategicintelligence5.0Introduction5.1Panels,expertgroupsandworkshops5.2Informationinputsforgroups5.3Workinggroupmethods6.Scenariosinknowledgesocietyforesight6.1Whatarescenarios?Whyaretheyused?6.2Whatismultiplescenarioanalysis?Howcanitbeused?6.3Whatarescenarioworkshopsfor?6.4Howarescenarioworkshop

7、sorganised?6.5WhatisSTEEPV?6.6Furtherresourcesonscenarios©EuropeanFoundationfortheImprovementofLivingandWorkingConditions,20037.Planningandaction7.0Introduction7.1Whatoutputsanddeliverablescanbeexpectedfromknowle