nonlinear models and related topics

nonlinear models and related topics

ID:7291861

大小:1.71 MB

页数:280页

时间:2018-02-10

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1、IVNONLINEARMODELSANDRELATEDTOPICSWenowapplythegeneralmethodsofPartIIItostudyspecificnonlinearmodelsthatoftenariseinapplications.Manynonlineareconometricmodelsareintendedtoex-plainlimiteddependentvariables.Roughly,alimiteddependentvariableisavariablewhose

2、rangeisrestrictedinsomeimportantway.Mostvariablesencounteredineconomicsarelimitedinrange,butnotallrequirespecialtreatment.Forexample,manyvariables—wage,population,andfoodconsumption,tonamejustafew—canonlytakeonpositivevalues.Ifastrictlypositivevariablet

3、akesonnumerousvalues,specialeconometricmethodsarerarelycalledfor.Often,takingthelogofthevari-ableandthenusingalinearmodelsu‰ces.Whenthevariabletobeexplained,y,isdiscreteandtakesonafinitenumberofvalues,itmakeslittlesensetotreatitasanapproximatelycontinuou

4、svariable.Dis-cretenessofydoesnotinitselfmeanthatalinearmodelforEðyjxÞisinappropriate.However,inChapter15wewillseethatlinearmodelshavecertaindrawbacksformodelingbinaryresponses,andwewilltreatnonlinearmodelssuchasprobitandlogit.Wealsocoverbasicmultinomia

5、lresponsemodelsinChapter15,includingthecasewhentheresponsehasanaturalordering.Otherkindsoflimiteddependentvariablesariseineconometricanalysis,especiallywhenmodelingchoicesbyindividuals,families,orfirms.Optimizingbehavioroftenleadstocornersolutionsforsome

6、nontrivialfractionofthepopulation.Forexample,duringanygiventime,afairlylargefractionoftheworkingagepopulationdoesnotworkoutsidethehome.Annualhoursworkedhasapopulationdistributionspreadoutoverarangeofvalues,butwithapileupatthevaluezero.Whileitcouldbethat

7、alinearmodelisappropriateformodelingexpectedhoursworked,alinearmodelwilllikelyleadtonegativepredictedhoursworkedforsomepeople.Takingthenat-urallogisnotpossiblebecauseofthecornersolutionatzero.InChapter16wewilldiscusseconometricmodelsthatarebettersuitedf

8、ordescribingthesekindsoflimiteddependentvariables.WetreattheproblemofsampleselectioninChapter17.Inmanysampleselectioncontextstheunderlyingpopulationmodelislinear,butnonlineareconometricmeth-odsarerequiredinordertocorrectfornonran

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