optimisation of production under uncertainty the state contingent approach

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1、SpringerBriefsinEconomicsForfurthervolumes:http://www.springer.com/series/8876SvendRasmussenOptimisationofProductionUnderUncertaintyTheState-ContingentApproach123Dr.SvendRasmussenInstituteofFoodandResourceEconomicsUniversityofCopenhagenRolighedsvej251958FrederiksbergC,CopenhagenDenm

2、arke-mail:sr@life.ku.dkISSN2191-5504e-ISSN2191-5512ISBN978-3-642-21685-5e-ISBN978-3-642-21686-2DOI10.1007/978-3-642-21686-2SpringerHeidelbergDordrechtLondonNewYorkÓSvendRasmussen2011Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.Allrightsarereserved,whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,speci

3、ficallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,broadcast-ing,reproductiononmicrofilmorinanyotherway,andstorageindatabanks.DuplicationofthispublicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheGermanCopyrightLawofSeptember9,1965,initscurrentversion,a

4、ndpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer.ViolationsareliabletoprosecutionundertheGermanCopyrightLaw.Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,etc.inthispublicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevantprotect

5、ivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse.Coverdesign:eStudioCalamar,Berlin/FigueresPrintedonacid-freepaperSpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com)PrefaceThisbookpresentsanewapproachtotheoptimisationofproductionunderuncer-tainty.Ithasitsrootsinaleavew

6、hichIspentattheSchoolofEconomics,UniversityofNewEngland,Armidale,Australia,in2002.Atthattime,RobertG.ChambersandJohnQuigginhadjustpresentedtheirbookUncertainty,Production,Choice,andAgency—TheState-ContingentApproach,whichincludedanewtheoreticalapproachtothedescriptionofproductionund

7、eruncertainty.Asaresultofdiscus-sionsaboutthebookwithmycolleagues,IrealisedthattheconceptsdevelopedandpresentedbyChambersandQuiggincouldbeusedasthebasisforderivingcriteriaforoptimalproductionunderuncertainty.Thestate-contingentapproachdiffersfromthetraditionalapproachtoplanningunder

8、uncertainty,whichha