[精选]中国棉花市场分析报告-Cotton.pptx

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1、ChinaCottonPrice,ImportPolicyAndConsignmentTradeTCEM目录CottonNetGapchangefromRigiditytoFlexibilityTheInfluenceofRMBappreciationDomesticSupply&DemandDataSlidingImportDutiesAffectthePriceChina’sCottonPricein2007UnfavorableEnvironmentforChinaTextileIndustrySlidingImportDutiesAffectthePriceSlidingI

2、mportDutiesAffectthePriceChinaCottonPriceDomesticSupply&DemandDataIn2006Chinaenjoyedacottonharvestwithplantation79.97mil.muand6.73milliontonsoutput。(DatafromNBS--NationalBureauofStatisticsofChina).In2007cottonplantationis81.7millionmuwhichis2.2%higherthanthatofin2006.Outputwillbe7.07mil.tonsin

3、earlySeptemberthisyear.ChinaCottonPriceCottonproductioninMainAreasChinaCottonPriceCottonproductionin2007Cottonproductionin2007ChinaCottonPriceChinaCottonPriceChinacottonconsumptioninthesecondquarter,theGDPgrowthinthefirsthalfof2007is11.9%,andtheannualGDPgrowthisexpectedtobe10%.Forthepast4years

4、,thegrowthhasbeenholding9%andup.China’spercapitalconsumptionoffabricalsoshownarapidupward.Inthepastthreeyears,theincreaseis15%perannumandwillmaintainthestronggrowth.ChinaCottonPriceChinacottonconsumptionFor2006-07is10.88milliontons,whileforthe2007-08,thepredictedcottonconsumptionwillbe11.75mil

5、liontons.。In2006,China’syarnproductionis17.22milliontons.BytheendofJulyin2007,theyarnproductionis17.33milliontons.ChinaCottonPriceUnfavorableEnvironmentforChinaTextileIndustryabove95%arenon-stated-ownedenterprisesintextileindustry,oneofthemostmarket-orientedindustriesinChina.increaseofdomestic

6、laborcosts,theraiseofrawmaterialpriceandthedecreaseofthetax-returnfortextileexport,theprofitsmarginofthetextileindustryisextrudedfurther.ChinaCottonPriceUn-favorableEnvironmentforChinaTextileIndustrycreatedalotoftradesurplusbenefitingfromthegoodqualityandcheaperprice,andnowaresufferingfromtens

7、etradefrictionsandtechnicalbarrierscausedbythistradegap.UnfavorableEnvironmentforChinaTextileIndustryTheInfluenceofRMBappreciationChina’scotton&textileindustrychainsinmainthreeelements:rawcotton—yarn&fabrics—apparelandtextile.Productsar