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1、微信扫描二维码关注启航考研(qh_kaoyan)Howtolivewithclimatechange如何与气候变化共处[2010.11.25]TheEconomistEvenifthecurrentlymoderatepaceofemissionsreductionstepsup,thelikelihoodisthattheEarthwillbeatleast3°Cwarmerattheendofthiscenturythanitwasatthestartoftheindustrialrevolution;lesswarmingispossible,butsoismo
2、re,andquicker.Thebestprotectionagainstglobalwarmingisglobalprosperity.Wealthier,healthierpeoplearebetterabletodealwithhigherfoodprices,orinvestinnewfarmingtechniques,ormovetoanothercityorcountry,thanpooronesare.Richereconomiesrelylessonagriculture,whichisvulnerabletoclimaticchange,andmo
3、reonindustryandservices,whichbyandlargearenot.Richerpeopletendtoworkinair-conditionedbuildings.Pooronestendnotto.Beyondencouragingclimate-friendlydevelopment,governmentsneedtotakesomefocusedmeasuresinthreeareas:infrastructure,migrationandfood.TheDutch,whohavecenturiesofexperienceofprote
4、ctingthemselvesagainsthighwater,arealreadyworkingouthowtoadaptandbuildinfrastructuretominimisetherisksoffloodingassealevelsriseandtherain-fedRhinegrowsfriskier.Elsewhere,politiciansneedtoassessthevulnerabilityoftheircitiestochangesinpeaktemperatures,inrainfall,insevere-stormfrequencyand
5、insealevel,andactaccordingly.Aslifegetsharderinvulnerableplaces,peoplewillneedtomigratebothbetweenandwithincountries.Richpeoplecanhelpmakelifeeasierforpooronesbyallowinglargernumbersacrosstheirborders.Withinrichcountries,governmentsshouldstopsubsidisinginsuranceinvulnerableareas—suchast
6、heFloridacoastline—andthusstimulatingdevelopmentthere.Peopleneedtobeencouragedtomigrateawayfromvulnerableareas,notintothem.Foodsecuritywillbecomeacrucialissue.Drought-resistantseedsareneeded;and,giventhatthefarmersleastabletopaywillrequirethehardiestvarieties,seedcompanies’effortsshould
7、besupplementedbystate-fundedresearch.Sincegeneticmodificationwouldhelpwiththis,itwouldbehandyifpeopleabandonedtheirprejudiceagainstit.Evenwithbettercrops,bettersoilconservation,betterplantingpatternsandbetterweatherforecasts,allofwhichareneeded,therewillstillberegionalcalamitie