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1、CHAPTER1DECISIONMAKING1.1DecisionMakingProcess1.2InteractionAmongVariousSteps1.3EconomicTerminology1.1DecisionMakingProcessEconomicdecisionsgohandinhandwithtechnicaldecisionsinthepetroleumindustry.Eachdecisionisassociatedwithseveralsteps.Inmostinstanc
2、es,weneedtounderstandthesestepsbeforewecandeterminethefeasibilityofaproject.Startingfromwhethertoexplore(勘探)foroilandgas,theeconomicdecisionsbecomeanintegralpartoftheproject.Thefirstdecisionmaybewhethertosignanagreementtoacquireaconcession(让步)onalease
3、(租约).Anassociateddecisionwouldbehowmuchofasigningbonus(签字定金)needstobepaid.Also,whattypesofadditionalcommitments(义务)suchasworkprogramsandfuturedrillingactivitiesaremade.Inthenextstep,ifaconcessionisacquired,oneneedstodecideifadditionalgeological(地质学的)o
4、rgeophysical(地球物理学的)dataneedstobegatheredbeforedrillingawell.Ifsufficientdataareavailable,whereshouldthefirstwellbedrilled.Ifthewellissuccessful,Weneedtodecideifthehydrocarbonreservesareinsufficienteconomicquantitiestojustifyadditionaldrillingandexplo
5、itation(开采).Afterfindinghydrocarbonsandknowingthattheycanbeproducedineconomicquantities,wefirstneedtodecidewhethertodeveloporselltoanotherparty.Ifwedecidetodevelop,weneedtoconsiderthedecisionsduringtheproductionphase..Startingfromthetypeofdrillingtech
6、niqueweneedtouse,weneedtomakedecisionsassociatedwiththewellcompletiontechniques(完井技术),surfaceseparationequipment,thepiping(管道)andtubing(油管)requirementsandtherateofproduction.Thesefactorsarefurthercompoundedbythechangingeconomicsofoilandgaspricesoverwh
7、ichtheproducermaynothaveanycontrol.Theeconomicdecisionscontinuethroughouttheproducinglifeoftheproject.Oncetheproductionbeginssmoothly,wewillhavetoworryaboutthepossibilitiesofsecondary(二次)andtertiary(三次)oilrecoverytechniques,drillingofin-fillwells(加密井)
8、,andtheimplementationofartificiallifttechniques..Nottomention,theproductionscenario(方案)canbesignificantlyaffectedbychanginggovernmentregulationseitherrelatedtoproductionquotas(配额)ortotheenvironmentalandpoliticalconcerns.Duringthesametime,knowi