Decision Analysis(决策分析教学大纲).doc

Decision Analysis(决策分析教学大纲).doc

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1、CURRICULAOUTLINECOURSENUMBERCOURSENAMEDECISIONANALYSISLECTURERFANGWEIGUOHOURS32CREDITS2COURSEPROPERTY□Compulsory√Elective□LectureKEYWORDSDecisionMaking,Decisiontheory,Multi-objectiveDecisionMakingCOURSEDESCRIPTIONDecisionAnalysisisabranchofManagementScience/OperationsResearch.T

2、hekernelofmanagementcanbethoughtofasdecisionmaking.Thus,beingabletoexploitscientificdecisionmakingproceduretomakerightdecisionsisanessentialqualificationformanagers.ThiscourseisanelectivecoursetailoredforforeigngraduatestudentsinMS/OR,whichisanextensiontothecontentofdecisionana

3、lysisinclassicOR.Moresophisticateddecisionmakingmethodsundercomplicateddecisionsituationswillbeintroducedinthiscourse.COURSEOBJECTIVEThroughthestudyofthiscourse,studentsarerequiredto(i)understandthefundamentalconceptsofdecisionanalysisanddifferentdecisionsituations,(ii)graspthe

4、basicdecisionmakingprinciples,methodsandcriteriaunderdifferentdecisionsituations,includingindividualdecisionmaking,groupdecisionmaking,multiple-objectivedecisionmaking,andgametheory.And(iii)beabletoselectandusestructuredandsystematicaldecisionmakingapproachestosolvecomplicatedd

5、ecisionproblemsinreallife.CONTENTSandARRANGEMENTSChapter1FundamentalsofDecisions(2hours)Chapter2UtilityTheory(3hours)Chapter3CriteriaforDecision-makingunderUncertainty(3hours)Chapter4DecisionTrees(3hours)Chapter5DecisionMakingwithMultipleObjectives(9hours)Chapter6GroupDecisionM

6、aking(6hours)Chapter7GameTheory(6hours)TEACHINGMETHODSLecturewithteacherinclassroommainly,assistedwithreferencesreadingandclassdiscussionCOURSEASSESSMENTAttendance10%,Assignments30%,Coursereport60%PREQUISITEProbabilityTheory,OperationsResearchREFERENCESnTextbook:DecisionAnalysi

7、s(unpublished,onlyforforeigngraduatestudents),editedbyFangWeiguo,2006nReferencebookandmaterial:WayneL.Winston.OperationsResearch:DecisionMaking(Thirdedition).TsinghuaUniversityPress,2004(authorizedbyThomsonLearning)

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