糖和甜味剂展望：预期美国糖产量将在2020-21年提高.docx

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1、Inthisreport:SugarandSweetenersOutlookMichaelMcConnell,coordinatorU.S.SugarProductionRaisedfor2020/21DuetoHarvestedAreaForecastsU.S.SugarOutlookMexicoSugarOutlookBoththeU.S.sugarcaneandsugarbeetcropsareforecasttoincreaseharvestedareain2020/21,raisingU.S.sugarproductionprojections.Higher

2、estimatedimportsfor2019/20resultinhighercarryout,alsoboosting2020/21supplies.Thestocks-to-useratiofor2019/20isestimatedtobe14.5percentand13.5percentfor2020/21.Mexicosugarproductionestimatesareraisedfor2019/20,increasingexportstotheUnitedStates.Lowerforecasteddomesticdeliveriesinboth2019/

3、20and2020/21allowformoredomesticsuppliestobeexported,withmostoftheincreasein2020/21expectedtogotonon-U.S.destinations.Sugarbeetplantedandharvestedarea,2010/11to2020/211,000acres1,400PlantedareaHarvestedareaEconomicResearchService

4、SituationandOutlookReportSSS-M-383

5、July16,2020Nextrelease

6、isAugust18,20201,2001,00080060040020002010/112011/122012/132013/142014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/202020/21Note:2020/21dataareforecasts.Source:USDA,NationalAgriculturalStatisticsService.UnitedStatesOutlookIncreasedAcreageRaisesSugarProductionfor2020/21IntheUSDA’sJulyWorldAgricult

7、uralSupplyandDemandEstimates(WASDE),U.S.totalsuppliesofsugarin2020/21totaled13.921millionshorttons,rawvalue(STRV),a187,000-STRVincreasefromtheJuneforecast.Theincreaseisduetohigherbeginningstocksanddomesticproduction,whichwereslightlyoffsetbylowerimports.Table1:U.S.sugar:Supplyandusebyfis

8、calyear(Oct./Sept.),July2020Items2019/202020/212019/202020/212018/19(estimate)(forecast)2018/19(estimate)(forecast)1,000Shorttons,rawvalue1,000Metrictons,rawvalueBeginningstocks2,0081,7831,7721,8221,6171,608Totalproduction8,9998,0029,0908,1637,2598,246Beetsugar4,9394,2565,0004,4803,86

9、14,536Canesugar4,0603,7464,0903,6833,3983,710Florida2,0052,1062,1051,8191,9101,910Louisiana1,9071,5131,8501,7301,3721,678Texas147127135134115122Hawaii000000Totalimports3,0704,1783,0592,7853,7902,775Tariff-ratequotaimports1,5412,2031,5801,3981,9981,433Otherprogramimports43