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1、Goodday,mynameisKevin.IamfromAustralia.I’mheretohelp.Tonight,Iwanttotalkaboutataleoftwocities.OneofthosecitiesiscalledWashington,andtheotheriscalledBeijing.Becausehowthesetwocapitalsshapetheirfuture,andthefutureoftheUnitedStatesandthefutureofChinadoesn’tjustaffectthosetwocou
2、ntries,itaffectsallofus.Inways,perhaps,we’veneverthoughtof.Theairwebreathe,thewaterwedrink,thefishweeat,thequalityofouroceans,thelanguageswespeakinthefuture,thejobswehave,thepoliticalsystemswechoose,and,ofcourse,thegreatquestionsofwarandpeace.Youseethatbloke?He’sFrench.Hisna
3、meisNapoleon.Acoupleofhundredyearsago,hemadehisextraordinaryprojection:“Chinaisasleepinglion,andwhenshewakes,theworldwillshake.”Napoleongotafewthingswrong,hegotthisoneabsolutelyright.BecauseChinaistodaynotjustwokenup,ChinahasstoopupandChinaisonthemarch,andthequestionforusall
4、iswherewillChinago,andhowdoweengagethisgiantofthe21stcentury?Youstartlookingatthenumbers,theystarttoconfrontyouinbigway.ItisprojectedthatChinawillbecomebywhichevermeasure,PPP,marketexchangerates,thelargesteconomyintheworldoverthecourseofthedecadeahead.They’realreadythelarges
5、ttradingnation,alreadythelargestexportingnation,alreadythelargestmanufacturingnation,andthey’realsothebiggestemittersofcarbonintheworld.Americacomessecond.SoifChinadoesbecometheworld’slargesteconomy,thinkaboutthis:it’llbethefirsttime,sincethisguywasonthethroneofEngland,Georg
6、eIII,notagoodfriendofNapoleon’s,thatintheworldwewillhaveasthelargesteconomy,anon-Englishspeakingcountry,anon-westerncountry,anon-liberaldemocraticcountry.Andifyoudon’tthinkthat’sgoingtoaffectthewayinwhichtheworldhappensinthefuture,thenpersonally,Ithinkyou’vebeensmokingsometh
7、ing,anditdoesn’tmeanyou’refromColorado.Soinshort,thequestionwehavetonightis,howdoweunderstandthismegachange,whichIbelievetobethebiggestchangeforthefirsthalfofthe21stcentury?It’llaffectsomanythings.Itwillgototheabsolutecore.It’shappeningquietly.It’shappeningpersistently.It’sh
8、appeninginsomesensesundertheradar,asweareallpreoccupiedwithwhat’sgoinginUkr
