耶鲁大学金融市场英文文本Financial-MarketsLecture-13-Transcript.doc

耶鲁大学金融市场英文文本Financial-MarketsLecture-13-Transcript.doc

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1、FinancialMarkets:Lecture13TranscriptProfessorRobertShiller:BeforeIbegin,IwanttosaysomethingaboutourspeakeronWednesday,AndrewRedleaf.Firstofall,heacceptedourinvitationtogotolunchwithsomeofyou.So,Iwanttoarrangeanevent,actuallyatoneofthecollege'scafeteria.Ihaven'

2、tfiguredout--maybeoneofyouhasasuggestion,especiallyifwecangeta--seewhatcollegehewashere--wediditinhiscollegebecausehegraduatedfromYale.I'veforgottenwhichonethatwas.Ithadaniceroomupstairs,somaybeI'lltrytogetthatoneagain.Ofcourse,hesaidhedoesn'tparticularlycare-

3、-maybeIshouldtakehimtoanotherone.Yeah,ifyoucansuggestacollege,whichhasaniceroomandthatwillbeboth--I'llcomeandRedleafwillcome;so,that'sthisWednesday.WhatI'mgoingtodoisemailyouthedetails.Ifyoucouldemailmeifyou'reinterestedincoming,sowecanhaveagoodsizegroupandadi

4、scussion.IjustwanttosayalittlebitaboutRedleaf.HefoundedWhiteboxAdvisorsin2000--sothat'seightyearsago--anditisnowupto$1.8billionassetsundermanagement."Assetsundermanagement"ishowmuchmoneyhehasdrawninfrominvestors.So,he'sdoingquitewellandhehassomecelebritystatus

5、amonghedgefundmanagers.Notably,IputonthewebsiteforMarch5th,underourclasssyllabus,aNewYorkTimesarticleabouthimentitled,"CuriosityHasItsMerits."IguessitstrucktheauthorofthatarticlethatRedleafisjustaguywhowasverycuriousaboutalotofthings.Hewantstoknowhowthingswork

6、andwhythingsarehappening.Thatmightbeanaturalimpulseandsomepeoplehavethatmorethanothers.It'sprobablyagoodimpulsetohaveifyou'regoingintoinvestment.Ofcourse,heturnsitintoproductivepurpose,sothereareacoupleexamplesfromthatarticle.Oneisthat--there'saliteratureinfin

7、anceaboutoptionsandstockpriceperformance,whichgoesbacktenyears,thatshowsthatsomethingisnotquiterightwiththewaycompaniesissueoptions.Letmeremindyouwhathappens.What'shappening,increasingly,isthatemployeesortopexecutiveemployees,atleast,incompaniesarerewardedaspa

8、rtoftheircompensationwithoptionsonthevalueofthestockofthecompanytheyworkfor.YouworkforXYZCorporation;theshareistradingat$10ashare;theywouldgiveyou"atthemoney"or"outofthemoney"optio

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