美国农业部油脂产业数据oilseedsfull.pdf

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1、UnitedStatesDepartmentofAgricultureForeignAgriculturalServiceCircularSeriesFOP6-10June2010SoybeanMealFacesStiffCompetitionintheEUandNorthAmerica.PercentChangeinSoybeanMealConsumptionfrom2005/0640%30%20%10%0%-10%-20%2006/20072007/20082008/20092009/20102010/2011Asia/OceaniaE

2、U27NorthAmericaOtherSoybeanmealconsumptionintheEUandNorthAmericaremainsbelowlevelsof5yearsago,sharplycontrastingthemorethan30percentgrowthinAsiaandelsewhereoverthesameperiod.StrongergrowthinporkandpoultryproductionoutsideoftheEUandNorthAmericaaccountsformostofthedifference

3、.IncreasedavailabilityofalternativefeedingredientsintheEUandNorthAmericahaspushedsoybeanmealconsumptionlower.GrowingbiodieselproductionintheEUhasincreasedsuppliesofrapeseedmeal,whichissubstitutingforsoybeanmealinfeedrations.GrowingethanolproductionintheUnitedStateshasincre

4、asedsuppliesofcornby-products,suchasdistillersdriedgrains,whichissubstitutingforsoybeanmealintheUSandMexico.Inaddition,expandedrapeseedproductioninCanadahasincreasedthesupplyanduseofrapeseedmealinNorthAmericanfeedrations,furtherreducingdemandforsoybeanmeal.ApprovedbytheWor

5、ldAgriculturalOutlookBoard/USDAPRICESU.S.soybeanexportbids,FOBGulf,inU.S.GulfSoybeanExportBidsMayaveraged$372perton,sustainingthesamelevelforthepastthreemonths.600Tightoldcropsupplieshavesupportedexportprices.500Asoftheweek-endingMay27,2010,400U.S.soybeansalescommitments(o

6、utstandingsalesplusaccumulated300exports)toChinatotaled22.1millionU.S.Gulf/FOB($/Metricton)5yearAverage(2003/04-2008/09)=$326tons,comparedto18.5millionayear200ago.Totalcommitmentstotheworldamountedto38.4milliontonscomparedMar-08Apr-08May-08Jun-08Jul-08Aug-08Sep-08Oct-08Nov

7、-08Dec-08Jan-09Feb-09Mar-09Apr-09May-09Jun-09Jul-09Aug-09Sep-09Oct-09Nov-09Dec-09Jan-10Feb-10Mar-10Apr-10May-10to33.7millionforthesameperiodlastyear.TRADECHANGESIN2009/10•Brazil’ssoybeanexportsareup1.0milliontonsto29.4millioninresponsetostrongoverseas’demand,mainlyfromChin

8、a.•China’ssoybeanimportsareboosted1.0milliontonstoarecord47.0millioninresponsetoreportedl