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1、南京理工大学课程考核论文课程名称:博弈论论文题目:基于博弈论的失业保险制度研究姓名:孙晗学号:115113001152成绩:任课教师评语:签名:年月日摘要面对日益严峻的城市失业问题,我国适时建立了失业保险制度。但国情的复杂性、失业问题的严峻性以及现行失业保险制度自身所存在的缺陷,使其在实施过程中不可避免地暴露了许多亟待解决的问题。我国失业保险制度的核心内容指的是由社会集中建立失业保险基金,分散失业风险,保障暂时处于失业状态的失业人员的基本生活,并通过职业培训来对其进行就业安置。但是,如果失业保障水平过低,那么将无法起到应有的生活保障作用,反之,失业保
2、障水平过高,又可能造成失业人员的福利惰性,不利于降低失业率,造成养懒汉的现象。那么,合理的失业保险制度受哪些因素的影响?失业保险制度又如何能够促进失业人员再就业。本文将通过运用博弈论的研究方法建立博弈模型,并通过混合策略分析、反应函数分析、均衡解分析等对我国失业保险制度当中存在的两大问题:养懒汉问题和隐性就业问题,进行较深入的分析,探索均衡解当中各个因素相互之间的内在关系。关键词:混合策略,失业保险制度,支付矩阵,纳什均衡AbstractFacingwithincreasinglyseriousproblemofurbanunemployment.C
3、hinaestablishedunemploymentinsurancesystemtimely.However,thecomplexityofthesituation,theseriousnessoftheunemploymentproblemandtheexistenceofdefectsoftheexistingunemploymentinsurancesystemitself,madeitinevitablerevealedanumberofproblemswhithurgentlytoberesolved.Unemploymentinsur
4、ancesystemisastabilizerandanti-unemploymentsafetynet,itscorecontentistheestablishmentofsocialsecurityfundsofunemployment,spreadtheriskofunemployment,guaranteesthebasiclivelihoodofunemployedpeople,andhelpsthetemporaryworkerstobeemployed.But,ifthesecuritylevelofunemploymentistool
5、ow,thatwillnotbeabletoplayitsdueroleinsafeguardinglife,onthecontrary,highlevelsofunemploymentinsurancemayresultinpeoplebeinginert,whichisnotconducivetoloweringtheunemploymentrate,butalsoresultinginthephenomenomofsupportlazy.So,whatkindsoffactorswillaffectareasonableunemployment
6、insurancesystem?Howcantheunemploymentinsurancesystemtopromotere-employmentofunemployed?Inthispaper,theauthorwillestablishgamemodelaccordingtotheresearchmethodsofGameTheory,andthroughmixedstrategyanalysis,responsefunctionanalysis,andtheequilibriumsolutionanalysisandsoontoexplore
7、theintrinsicrelationshipbetweenthevariousfactorsandfindeffectivewaystosolvetheproblems.KEYWORDS:Unemploymentinsurancesystem,mixedstrategy,Nashequilibrium,payoffmatrix目录摘要2Abstract3第一章:导论5第二章:“养懒汉”问题的博弈分析62.1政府与失业人员的博弈分析62.1.1建立博弈支付矩阵62.1.2对该支付矩阵的解释和分析62.2政府与失业人员博弈的混合策略分析72.3结论9
8、第三章:隐性就业的博弈分析103.1隐性就业问题103.2政府采取对策的隐形就业博弈分析103.2.1隐形就