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1、1，具体数字说明老龄化的严重以及对社会经济的影响。Whentheonechildpolicywascarriedout30yearsago,itsaidthatafter30yearstheintenseincreasingpopulationwouldbeslowdown,andthenanewpopulationpolicywouldbeneeded.Actually,thepopulationwaswell-controlledduringthese30years.AccordingtotheNationalBureauofStatistics,thetot
2、alfertilityrateinChinawas1.34in2005and1.44in2010,whichmeanswearefacingseriousbabybust.Atthesametime,theelderlypopulationsurgesquickly.Ittakesmostofthedevelopedcountriesmorethan45yearsfortheproportionoftheirelderlypopulationsover65increasingfrom7%to14%.IttookFrance130years,85yearsforSw
3、eden,about79yearsforAustraliaandtheUS.ThankstotheFamilyPlanningPolicy,ittookChinaonly27yearstocompletethisprocess.By2030,thenumberofpeoplewhoaremorethan60yearsoldwillupto0.355billion.Ourprocessgoestoofastthatitcausedmanyproblems.Soweneedflexiblepolicytodealwiththebirthofthesecondchild
4、.2，独生子女的弊端，需要放宽二胎政策的必要性。Nowparentsofthefirstgenerationoftheonly-childrenaresteppingintooldage.Chinaisenteringa“4-2-1Family”era,fourseniors,onecouple,andonechild,aperfect"InvertedPyramid"model.Inthisbizarre“4-2-1”pattern,withparentsabove,andtheonlychildbelow,theyounggenerationistrapped
5、inthemiddlelayer,knownas“thegenerationofsandwich”.Besides,oncetheseniorshadanaccident,thechildmaynotbeabletotakecareofthemintime.AndifthechildhadanaccidentsuchasWenchuanEarthquake,itwouldbeatotallossforthewholefamilyandnoonecouldtakecareofthefamilyinstead.Inthenewpolicyinmanyprovinces
6、,thecoupleswhoareboththeonly-childcouldhavetwochildren.Itwasanecessaryamendmenttoreducetheheavyburdensofthefamily.3、旧政策以偏概全，没有照顾到农村劳动力及少数民族保护问题，新政策具体问题具体分析，更加合理和人性化Onechildpolicywasnotsuitableforallsituations,forsomespecialgroupofpeople,weneeddifferentflexiblepolicy.AsthenewpolicyinAn
7、huiandJilin,forthecoupleswhoarebothagriculturalresidentsandtheirfirstchildisagirl,theyarepermittedtohaveasecondchild.Itcansolvetheproblemoflackinginworkforceinruralfamily.Withpooreconomyandlowdevelopment,theydependmoreonthenumberoflaborinafamily.Forethnicminorities,weshouldhelptokeepa
8、nddev
