投资需求分析论文.doc

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1、投资规模统计分析投资规模是指一个国家或地区在一定时期内投入社会用以进行物质资料再牛产的资金总额，是对投资活动的总量刻画。投资规模是否适度，是影响经济发展与稳定的一个决定因素。盲目投资、投资过快而投资需求不足时，会加大通货膨胀压力，也会导致物价持续上涨的现象；投资供给不足则会导致投资品大量积压，赊购赊销等现象出现，投资品牛产萎缩，乃至影响整个经济下滑。所以优化投资率和投资规模的统计分析，对国民经济的发展和宏观控制投资规模有重要的意义。本文主要从下面几个方面来衡量广东的投资规模是否合理:1）积累增长率与国民收入增长率比较2）投资增长率与国民生产总值增长率比较3）积累率水

2、平4）投资率水平一、数据来源《广东统计年鉴》1978—2007年支出法地区生产总值年份1978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996194.14215.43259.32305.22349.13367.36446.06568.98650.99815.051129.641348.541541.991847.992440.583465.3114618.2515933.0526834.966最终消费130.0233147.1082180.9263201.4319233.

3、2073252.0745288.2643347.1757415.9111516.0165667.0266857.327938.48151081.3871359.0761852.062598.5733363.3793859.324资本形成总额""54.7955.8613571.3745796.73844112.3479113.4857150.0715238.5839256.7463312.3267462.0718472.7503502.8991610.1805987.95921554.4611930.8552394.7862782.894货物和服务净流出9.32673

4、812.460417.0191087.0496863.5748341.799827.724243-16.7795-21.6674-13.29320.54155718.46265100.6094156.422393.5449558.7902788.82264174.887192.7479支出法地区生产总值最终消费资本形成总额货物和服务净流出收入（牛产总值）增长率积累率积累增长率投资率投资增长率194.14130.02354.799.326740.33026215.43147.10855.861312.46040.1096630.317140.06560.25930.0

5、1955259.32180.92671.37467.019110.2037320.30230.14740.275240.27771305.22201.43296.73847.049690.1770010.340040.32390.316950.35536349.13233.207112.3483.574830.1438630.332030.11690.321790.16136367.36252.074113.4861.799820.0522160.31382-0.0050.308920.01013446.06288.264150.0717.724240.214231

6、0.353750.36870.336440.32238568.98347.176238.584-16.780.2755680.389830.40560.419320.5898650.99415.911256.746-21.6670.1441350.361110.05980.394390.07613815.05516.016312.327-13.2930.2520160.366890.27210.38320.216481129.64667.027462.0720.541560.3859760.409520.5470.409040.479451348.54857.327

7、472.7518.46260.1937790.364260.06180.350560.023111541.99938.481502.899100.6090.1434510.391380.22860.326140.063771847.991081.39610.181156.4220.1984450.414830.27020.330190.213332440.581359.08987.95993.5450.3206670.443130.41080.404810.619133465.3111852.061554.4658.79030.4198720.465540.49