论文素材中美贸易战.doc

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1、FinancialTimes报道1:WilltheUS-Chinatradewarimpactonglobalgrowth?TheUSdecisiontoimposetariffson$200bnofChineseimportsmarkedaseriousescalationinitshostilitieswithBeijingovertrade.Yeteconomistsbelieveprotectionistmeasureswillhaveonlyamodestimpactonglobalgrowth—providedthebilateralconflictdo

2、esnotturnintoanall-outmultilateralwar.Thesefourchartshelpexplainwhy.Internationaltradeingoodshasalreadyfallenasaproportionofglobaloutputinrecentyears,despitetheupswingintheworldeconomy.Thisispartlybecauseofcurrencyeffectsandchangesincommodityprices,butmanufacturersarealsobecominglessre

3、liantonimportedinputsandpopularhostilitytoglobalisationmayalsobeplayingapart,withtradedisputesandtheuseofanti-dumpingmeasuresontheriseevenbeforethelatestroundsoftariffs.2.Sofar,tariffsaffectonlyasmallproportionofglobaltradeAlthoughtheUS-Chinaconflictnowlookslikelytoaffectthevastmajorit

4、yofthegoodstradedbetweenthetwocountries,itmakesupamodestproportionofglobaltrade.EveniftheUSactsonallthethreatsithasmadesofar,onlyaround5percentofglobalimportswouldbeaffected3.Formostcountries,tradetieswithnearneighboursarethemostimportantWorldtradeislargelyconcentratedinthreeregions:No

5、rthAmerica,EuropeandEastAsia,withalargeshareoftradebeingintra-regional.4.EmergingmarketsmaybenefitifthedisputeleadsChinatotrademorewithneighboursinsouth-eastAsia.InternationaltradeislargelycomposedoftradeflowsbetweenrichcountriesandtheEastAsianregionbutdevelopingcountries’tradewithChin

6、aisincreasinglyimportant.Abigquestionnowiswhetherothercountriesinsouth-eastAsiaareabletobenefitfromgreaterintegrationwithChinaasexistingtradeflowsaredivertedtonewmarkets,andifChinesemanufacturersseektoshiftproductiontocountriesnotaffectedbytariffs.报道2:ChinastockstumbleonUStradewarconce

7、rns（Financialtimes）Chinesestockscementedtheirpositionastheworld’sworstperformingmajorequitymarketonMonday,astheymissedoutonthereturnofsomestabilityfollowinglastweek’sglobalructions.Afterrising22percentin2017,theCSI300,anindexofsomeofthelargestcompanieslistedontheChinesemainland,hastu