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1、LiftingEconomicCloudstoBoostAsianExportsIf,asBobDylanoncefamouslycroaked・“Theanswerisblowirfinthewind,"thenAsia'smacroeconomicweathervanesareindicatingfairtomediumtailwinds,albeitwithariskoflowpressure.Theoutlookcertainlylooksbetternowthanitdidayearago.Fourthquarte
2、r2013datafrommajormarketsbeatanalystexpectations,andtheJPMorgan-MarkitglobalPurchasingManagersIndexreached53.3inDecember,thehighestreadingsinceApril2011・Mt•0W4Qis/MfYYTr丫Y丫TTTrNwOcQn2QMv,眄SepNo*20122&13MimaAsia-EuropeComaintruftdTr»d»-•-Eunofiwn•EuiopaMiiftcotsAsia
3、-EuropecontainerizedtradeFull・sizechaHTheeurozoneisforecasttomoveoutofrecessionthisyear,withPMIdata—whichhasconsistentlyledGDPgrowth—suggest!ngfurtherexpansion,boostedbyrisingconsumptionintheU.K.andtheimprovedperformaneeofperipherycountries.Mostanalystsexpectthisto
4、leadtoacceleratingGDPgrowthin2015and2016.Againstabackdropofburgeoningconsumerconfidenceandlownaturalgasprices,USGDPalsoispredictedtogrowmorequicklyin2014thanitdidlastyear.Indeed,globaleconomicoutputissettoexpand3.5percentin2014,upfromanestimated2.9percentIasiyear,a
5、ccordingtoglobalresearchandconsultingfirmPwC・ImprovedstabilityinkeymarketsappearscertaintobenefitmajorexportingeconomiesinAsia,aswellasoceancarriers,railoperatorsandairlinesthatshiptheirgoods・RajivBiswas,Asia-PacificchiefeconomistforIHS,saidacceleratingglobalgrowth
6、wouldbeamajorboostforAsiathisyear,especiallyforcountriessuchasSouthKorea,Malaysia,SingaporeandThailandthathaveahighshareofexportsrelativetototalGDP."TheeconomicoutlookforChinaisalsohelpedbytheimprovingprospectsfortheU.S.andEU,whichremainkeyexportmarketsforChina,”Bi
7、swassaid."Thisupturninworldgrowthwillalsodriveareboundinworldtrade,withgrowthinworldcontainerizedtradeforecasttoreboundfromasluggish2.1percentgrowthratein2013to4.7percentgrowthin2014."AlthoughPwCforecastsChinasGDPgrowthwillslowto7.5percentthisyearfrom7.7percentin20
8、13,otheranalystsaremorebullish.IHS,forexample,expectsgrowthof8.1percentin2014asexportsimproveandconsumerdemandremainsrobust.InJapan,the“Abenomics