考研英语终极模拟预测试题3

《考研英语终极模拟预测试题3》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。

1、模考班精讲讲义阅读理解ASectionⅡReadingComprehensionPartADirections:Readthefollowingfourtexts.AnswerthequestionsbeloweachtextbychoosingA,B,CorD.MarkyouranswersonANSWERSHEET1.(40points)Passage1Positivesurprisesfromgovernmentreportsonretailsales,industrialproduction,andhousinginthepastfewmonthsareleadinge

2、conomiststorevisetheirrealgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)forecastsupwardsupportingthenotionthattherecessionendedinDecemberorJanuary.Bearinmind:Thisrecoverywon’thavethevitalitynormallyassociatedwithanupturn.EconomistsnowexpectrealGDPgrowthofabout1.5inthefirstquarter.That’sbetterthanthe0.4theconsens

3、usprojectedinDecember,butmuchoftheadditionalgrowthwillcomefromaslowerpaceofinventorydrawdowns,notfromsurgingdemand.Moreover,theeconomywon’tgrowfastenoughtohelpthelabormarketsmuch.TheonlygoodnewsthereisthatjoblessclaimshavefallenbackfromtheirspikeafterSeptember11andthattheircurrentlevelsugges

4、tsthepaceoflayoffsiseasing.TherecoveryalsodoesnotmeantheFederalReservewillraiseinterestratessoon.TheJanuarypriceindexesshowthatinflationremainstame.Consequently,theFedcantakeitstimeshiftingmonetarypolicyfromextremeaccommodationtorelativeneutrality.Perhapsthebestnewsfromthelatesteconomicrepor

5、tswastheJanuarydataonindustrialproduction.Totaloutputfellonly0.1,itsbestshowingsinceJuly.Factoryoutputwasflat,alsothebestperformanceinsixmonths.Thosenumbersmaynotsoundencouraging,butmanufacturershavebeeninrecessionsincelate2000.Thedatasuggestthatthefactorysectorisfindingabottomfromwhichtosta

6、rtitsrecovery.Productionofconsumergoods,forinstance,isalmostbackuptowhereitwasayearago.That’sbecauseconsumerdemandformotorvehiclesandothergoodsandthehousingindustryremainedhealthyduringtherecession,andtheyarestillgrowinginearly2002.Besides,boththemonthlyhomebuildingstartsnumberandthehousingm

7、arketindexforthepasttwomonthsarerunningabovetheaveragesforallof2001,suggestingthathome-buildingisofftoagoodstartandprobablywon’tbebigdragonGDPgrowththisyear.Equallyimportanttotheoutlookishowthesolidhousingmarketwillhelpdemandforhome-relatedgoodsand