考研英语终极模拟预测试题2

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1、SectionIIReadingComprehensionPartADirections:Readthefollowingfourtexts.AnswerthequestionsbeloweachtextbychoosingA，B，CorD.MarkyouranswersonANSWERSHEET1.(40points)Passage1Positivesurprisesfromgovernmentreportsonretailsales，industrialproduction,andhousinginthe

2、pastfewmonthsareleadingeconomiststorevisetheirrealgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)forecastsupwardsupportingthenotionthattherecessionendedinDecemberorJanuary.Bearinmind:Thisrecoverywon’thavethevitalitynormallyassociatedwithanupturn.EconomistsnowexpectrealGDPgrowtho

3、fabout1.5inthefirstquarter.That’sbetterthanthe0.4theconsensusprojectedinDecember，butmuchoftheadditionalgrowthwillcomefromaslowerpaceofinventorydrawdowns,notfromsurgingdemand.Moreover，theeconomywon’tgrowfastenoughtohelpthelabormarketsmuch.Theonlygoodnewsther

4、eisthatjoblessclaimshavefallenbackfromtheirspikeafterSeptember11andthattheircurrentlevelsuggeststhepaceoflayoffsiseasing.TherecoveryalsodoesnotmeantheFederalReservewillraiseinterestratessoon.TheJanuarypriceindexesshowthatinflationremainstame.Consequently，th

5、eFedcantakeitstimeshiftingmonetarypolicyfromextremeaccommodationtorelativeneutrality.PerhapsthebestnewsfromthelatesteconomicreportswastheJanuarydataonindustrialproduction.Totaloutputfellonly0.1，itsbestshowingsinceJuly.Factoryoutputwasflat，alsothebestperform

6、anceinsixmonths.Thosenumbersmaynotsoundencouraging,butmanufacturershavebeeninrecessionsincelate2000.Thedatasuggestthatthefactorysectorisfindingabottomfromwhichtostartitsrecovery.Productionofconsumergoods,forinstance，isalmostbackuptowhereitwasayearago.That’s

7、becauseconsumerdemandformotorvehiclesandothergoodsandthehousingindustryremainedhealthyduringtherecession，andtheyarestillgrowinginearly2002.Besides，boththemonthlyhomebuildingstartsnumberandthehousingmarketindexforthepasttwomonthsarerunningabovetheaveragesfor

8、allof2001，suggestingthathome-buildingisofftoagoodstartandprobablywon’tbebigdragonGDPgrowththisyear.Equallyimportanttotheoutlookishowthesolidhousingmarketwillhelpdemandforhome-relatedgoodsandservices.Tr