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1、ReviewofEconomicStudies(2014)81,535571doi:10.1093/restud/rdt035©TheAuthor2013.PublishedbyOxfordUniversityPressonbehalfofTheReviewofEconomicStudiesLimited.Advanceaccesspublication4October2013PoundsThatKill:TheExternalCostsofVehicleWeightDownloadedfromMICHAELL.ANDERSONUniversityofCalifornia,Ber
2、keleyandNBERandMAXIMILIANAUFFHAMMERhttp://restud.oxfordjournals.org/UniversityofCalifornia,BerkeleyandNBERFirstversionreceivedJanuary2012;finalversionacceptedMay2013(Eds.)Heaviervehiclesaresaferfortheirownoccupantsbutmorehazardousforothervehicles.Simpletheorythussuggeststhatanunregulatedvehicl
3、efleetisinefficientlyheavy.Usingthreeseparateidentificationstrategiesweshowthat,controllingforown-vehicleweight,beinghitbyavehiclethatis1000poundsheaviergeneratesa4050%increaseinfatalityrisk.Theseresultsimplyatotalaccident-relatedexternalitythatexceedstheestimatedsocialcostofUScarbonemissionsand
4、isequivalenttoagasatAcademiaSinicaLifeScienceLibraryonApril25,2014taxof$0.97pergallon($136billionannually).Weconsidertwopoliciesforinternalizingthisexternalcost,aweight-varyingmileagetaxandagastax,andfindthattheyaresimilarformostvehicles.ThefindingssuggestthatEuropeangastaxesmaybemuchclosertoop
5、timallevelsthantheUSgastax.Keywords:Trafficaccidents,Highwaysafety,Gasolinetax,EnergyPolicy,Armsrace.JELCodes:H23,I18,Q48,Q58,R411.INTRODUCTIONTheaverageweightoflightvehiclessoldintheUnitedStateshasfluctuatedsubstantiallyoverthepast35years.From1975to1980,averageweightdroppedalmost1000pounds(fro
6、m4060poundsto3228pounds),likelyinresponsetorisinggasolinepricesandthepassageoftheCorporateAverageFuelEfficiency(CAFE)standard.Asgasolinepricesfellinthelate-1980s,however,averagevehicleweightbegantorise,andby2005ithadattained1975levels(USEnvironmentalProtectionAgency,2009).Arichbodyofresearchex
7、aminestheeffectsofCAFEandgasolinepricesonconsumersvehiclechoices(Portneyetal.,2003;AustinandDinan,2005;Bentoetal.,2009;Lietal.,2009;KlierandLinn,2012;Busseetal.,2013).Oneareaofintenseresearchinterestishowthechoicesconsumersmakeinresponsetogas