利用外资与经济增长【外文翻译】

利用外资与经济增长【外文翻译】

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时间:2017-08-04

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1、外文翻译原文ForeignCapitalandEconomicGrowthMaterialSource:http://ftp.iza.org/dp3186.pdfAuthor:EswarS.PrasadWedocumenttherecentphenomenonof“uphill”flowsofcapitalfromnonindustrialtoindustrialcountriesandanalyzewhetherthispatternofcapitalflowshashurtgrowthinnonindustrialeconomiesth

2、atexportcapital.Surprisingly,wefindthatthereisapositivecorrelationbetweencurrentaccountbalancesandgrowthamongnonindustrialcountries,implyingthatareducedrelianceonforeigncapitalisassociatedwithhighergrowth.Thisresultisweakerwhenweusepaneldataratherthancross-sectionalaverage

3、soverlongperiodsoftime,butinnocasedowefindanyevidencethatanincreaseinforeigncapitalinflowsdirectlyboostsgrowth.Whatexplainstheseresults,whicharecontrarytothepredictionsofconventionaltheoreticalmodels?Weprovidesomeevidencethatevensuccessfuldevelopingcountrieshavelimitedabso

4、rptivecapacityforforeignresources,eitherbecausetheirfinancialmarketsareunderdeveloped,orbecausetheireconomiesarepronetoovervaluationcausedbyrapidcapitalinflows.Inoneofhismostmemorableandwidelyquotedpassages,JohnMaynardKeynesextolledthevirtuesnotonlyoftradeintegrationbutals

5、ooffinancialintegrationwhenhewrote,in1920,ofthefabledEnglishmanwhocould"adventurehiswealthin…newenterprisesofanyquarteroftheworld,andshare,withoutexertionoreventrouble,intheirprospectivefruitsandadvantages."Consistencywas,ofcourse,notaKeynesianvirtue,andin1933,inoneofhisle

6、ssquotedpassages,Keynes'smusingsonglobalizationturnedmoremelancholy,evenskeptical:"Isympathizewiththosewhowouldminimize,ratherthanwiththosewhowouldmaximize,economicentanglementamongnations.Ideas,knowledge,science,hospitality,travel;thesearethethingswhichshouldoftheirnature

7、beinternational.Butletgoodsbehomespunwheneveritisreasonablyandconvenientlypossible."Hereservedhisdeepestskepticismforfinancialglobalization,warning,"and,aboveall,letfinancebeprimarilynational."WhichKeyneswasright?theKeynesof1920ortheKeynesof1933?Andwhy?Or,toputitmoremundan

8、ely,doesforeigncapitalplayahelpful,benign,ormalignroleineconomicgrowth?Thequestionhasfuel

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