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1、应用SHIFT-SHARE方法进行区域产业结构分析、评价与规划班级:城规2班(专升本)姓名:张金颖学号:3201212040231一、木实验运用偏离-份额分析法,选取了美国及阿拿巴马州各产业部门和生产工业各行业经济指标(表1和表2)表1美国及阿拿巴马州各产业部门经济指标(单位:1000美元)美国阿拿巴马州部门1997年1992年1997年1992年矿业174,519,541162,095,4212,239,9451,539,726建筑业834,794,940539,084,65712,781,51710,782,
2、638生产工业3,95&050,4343,004,722,84167,970,07660,862,532运输,通讯及设施1,143,936,913905,613,5024,285,2753,655,567批发业4,235,400,3253,238,520,44740,986,32832,135,201零售业2,545,881,4731,894,880,20936,623,32730,587,167金融,保险和房地产2,474,943,6341,831,526,5172,130,2701,601,364服务业1,8
3、43,791,8871,202,613,01021,914,60115,238,189部门美国阿拿巴马州1997年1992年1997年1992年食品行业480,839,825406,962,7676,124,3305,324,330烟草行业40,899,56735,197,809740,248689,628纺织行业82,404,42570,752,9713,461,0063,018,896服装行业81,193,68171,657,9254,566,3394,002,637木材行业111,930,68481,564
4、,8184,381,7793,891,268家具行业61,527,90243,825,9261,494,6171,025,891造纸行业196,203,755133,200,7036,287,7095,599,608印刷出版行业210,920,521166,153,125756,269683,568化工行业400,084,778305,420,0967,191,2286,723,115石油煤炭行业175,779,152150,226,8931,703,6771,165,865塑胶行业160,738,556113,
5、592,7683,383,5502,860,367皮革行业16,569,3469,693,76310,6339,597石材,黏土,玻璃行业87,244,42362,520,6111,682,5761,012,397金属原材料行业188,774,795138,286,9916,637,9025,883,509金属制品行业231,704,012166,532,0383,995,4013,234,506工业机械设备407,393,276258,661,3562,388,0041,657,210电了,电器设备行业348,
6、559,508216,764,2871,723,8251,197,056运输设备行业515,881,602399,269,2834,961,9344,112,801其他生产工业50,997,83839,498,319868,206799,513表2美国及阿拿巴马州生产工业各行业经济指标(单位:1000美元)二、依照偏离-份额分析法的计算方法计算美国及阿拿巴马州各产业部门的份额定量、产业结构偏移分量、竞争力偏离分量、部门偏离分量等指数。计算结果见表3.表3阿拿巴马州各产业部门Shift-Share分析表分析指标背景
7、初期总产值背景末期总产值初期总产值末期总产值部门份额部门差额部门增长率总增长率增长差额部门增长量份额分量结构偏离分量竞争力偏离分量部门偏离分量部门bij.o如0b#bij.o'bij.o-bij,o'W%Gij.%PD*矿业162,095,421174,519,5411,539,7262,239,94520852.311,51&873.690.4547685760.0766469520.3781216237002191598.266365116417.0389582203.6947698620.7336建筑业53
8、9,084,657834,794,94010,782,63812,781,517485648.5310,296,989.470.1853794030.548541457-0.3631620531998879266398.35035648325.605-3915844.951732480.65生产工业3,004,722,8413,958,050,43460,862,5326