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《Which road do I take A learning-based model of route-choice behavior with real-time information》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、TransportationResearchPartA44(2010)249–264ContentslistsavailableatScienceDirectTransportationResearchPartAjournalhomepage:www.elsevier.com/locate/traWhichroaddoItake?Alearning-basedmodelofroute-choicebehaviorwithreal-timeinformationab,*EranBen-Elia,YoramShiftanaU
2、rbanandRegionalResearchCentre,FacultyofGeosciences,UtrechtUniversity,P.O.Box80115,3508TC,Utrecht,TheNetherlandsbFacultyofCivil&EnvironmentalEngineering,Technion–IsraelInstituteofTechnology,TechnionCity,Haifa32000,IsraelarticleinfoabstractArticlehistory:Thispaperp
3、resentsalearning-basedmodelofroute-choicebehaviorwheninformationisReceived23April2009providedinrealtime.Inalaboratorycontrolledexperiment,participantsmadealongser-Receivedinrevisedform21November2009iesofbinaryroute-choicetrialsrelyingonreal-timeinformationandlear
4、ningfromtheirAccepted16January2010personalexperiencereinforcedthroughfeedback.AdiscretechoicemodelwithaMixedLogitspecification,accountingforpaneleffects,wasestimatedbasedontheexperiment’sdata.Itwasfoundthatinformationandexperiencehaveacombinedeffectondrivers’Keywo
5、rds:route-choicebehavior.InformedparticipantshadfasterlearningratesandtendedtobaseExperiencetheirdecisionsonmemorizationrelatingtopreviousoutcomeswhereasnon-informedpar-InformationPaneldataticipantswereslowerinlearning,requiredmoreexplorationandtendedtorelymostly
6、onProspectTheoryrecentoutcomes.Informedparticipantsweremorepronetorisk-seekingandhadgreaterRandomutilitymodelssensitivitytotraveltimevariability.Incomparison,non-informedparticipantsappearedReinforcedlearningtobemorerisk-averseandlesssensitivetovariability.Theser
7、esultshaveimportantpolicyRoute-choiceimplicationsonthedesignandimplementationofATISinitiatives.Theadvantageofincor-TraveltimevariabilityporatinginsightsfromProspectTheoryandreinforcedlearningtoimprovetherealismofUncertaintytravelbehaviormodelsisalsodiscussed.Ó201
8、0ElsevierLtd.Allrightsreserved.‘‘Wouldyoutellme,please,whichwayIoughttogofromhere?Thatdependsagooddealonwhereyouwanttogetto,saidtheCat.Idon’tmuchcarewhere–said
