Risk MGMT总结

Risk MGMT总结

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时间:2019-08-03

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1、Commondefinitionofrisk:1.Thenotionofanindeterminateoutcomeisimplicitinalldefinitionsofrisk:Theoutcomemustbeinquestion.Forrisktoexist,theremustbeatleasttwopossibleoutcomes.Ifweknowforcertainthatalosswilloccur,thereisnorisk.2.Atleastoneofthepossibleoutcomesisundesirable.Thisma

2、ybealossinthegenerallyacceptedsenseinwhichsomethingtheindividualpossessesislost,oritmaybeagainsmallerthanthegainthatwaspossible.OurDefinitionofRisk:Riskisaconditioninwhichthereisapossibilityofanadversedeviationfromadesiredoutcomethatisexpectedorhopedfor.(Probability:0-1)Them

3、ostwidelyheldmeaningofuncertaintyreferstoastateofmindcharacterizedbydoubt,basedonalackofknowledgeaboutwhatwillorwillnothappeninthefuture.Theexpectedvalueofalossinagivensituationistheprobabilityofthatlossmultipliedbytheamountofthepotentialloss.Iftheamountatriskis$10andtheprob

4、abilityoflossis0.10,theexpectedvalueofthelossis$1.Iftheamountatriskis$100andtheprobabilityis0.01,theexpectedvalueisalso$1.(Degreeofrisk)Aperilisacauseofaloss.Wespeakoftheperiloffire,windstorm,hail,ortheft.Eachoftheseisthecauseofthelossthatoccurs.Ahazard,ontheotherhand,isacon

5、ditionthatmaycreateorincreasethechanceofalossarisingfromagivenperil.Itispossibleforsomethingtobebothaperilandahazard.Forinstance,sicknessisaperilcausingeconomicloss,butitisalsoahazardthatincreasesthechanceoflossfromtheperilofprematuredeath.ThreecategoriesofHazards:1.Physical

6、hazardconsistsofthosephysicalpropertiesthatincreasethechanceoflossfromthevariousperils.Examplesofphysicalhazardsthatincreasethepossibilityoflossfromtheperiloffirearethetypeofconstruction,thelocationoftheproperty,andtheoccupancyofthebuilding.2.Moralhazardreferstotheincreasein

7、theprobabilityoflossthatresultsfromdishonesttendenciesinthecharacteroftheinsuredperson.Moresimply,itisthedishonesttendenciesonthepartofaninsuredthatmayinducethatpersontoat-tempttodefraudtheinsurancecompany.Adis-honestperson,inthehopeofcollectingfromtheinsurancecompany,mayint

8、entionallycausealossormayexaggeratetheamountofalossinanattempttocollectmore

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