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1、,.,.....✎✎✎✍✎✎✍●“‘-Sp@’”r”..‘IrendsandProjectionsinSovietEnergyOutputandDemand,1947-72byDemitriB.ShimkinProfessorofAnthropologyandGeographyUniversityof’IllinoisUrbana,IllinoisPresentedFebruary28,~961‘tothe“,*‘S&ietyofPetroleumEngineersofAME,!’..1....>.‘-....-..
2、....-.‘-“=-41,”..,.,.>,,.—.-----b,TRENDSANDPROJECTIONSXNSOVIETENERGYOU’J!PUIANDDEMAND,1947-72*Overthepastfouryears,muchauthenticIr$ormatienonenergyrescwmes,technology,outputandut~liza~ion~~theSOVietUn~Onhasbecomeava%lable.!?.hemajorsourceshavebeentechnicaljourn
3、alssuchas-t(Coal),~%WfQ(“pdtro~emEcolIomips),and~anr~os~f(PeatIndustry);andmonographspublishedbytheSta’tewel-TechnologyPress(ti@&l&@&),theState‘Mining-TechnologyPress(Bos#or@$tl@*dat),theStateElectric-PowerPress(~t),theCoal-TechnologyPress(~)~theStatePlanningPr
4、ess(~),andtheAcademiesofScienceoftheSovietUnionanditsRepublics.StatisticalhandbookspublishedbytheCentralStatisticalAdministration,theMinistryofForeignTradeandotherofficialbodieshavealsopzovedvaluable.Ingeneral,thesematerialsarefarmorer~liabhsandcomprehensivetha
5、npopularsourcesorcasualWeste~nobservers?”“WMleambiguities?gapsanderrorsdooccur;andwhiledifferetibesfromWesternconceP~sandpracticesimposecaution,theSoviettechnicalsources.arelargelycompetent,explicitand.consistent.Properlyused,thedataare“adequate’todevelopaneffe
6、ctiveunderstandingofSoviettechniquesandaccomplishmefits~problemsandplans!.in.energYdevelopmentaduse(seealso‘Shimkin$“1960;n.d.-a,;md.-k)Inthisdiscussion,Ishalltrytosketohthecu:renten.ergY-resourcepositionoftheSovietUnion;major’trendsandp~an~’....inenergyoutput,
7、bysourceandbyregion;andcurtientandpla~ed‘,-patternsofenergyuse.Ishallalsomakeselectedco~parison~with‘../..=...,.s...:.the..United~..._....,State,sz,thereby~........highlighting.>T,...-,...........-...distinctive........-....:....-.fea$ures----ofSoviet..-6.’----
8、---practice.OneIshallretain,,forconsistency’ssake.?hatisthe-.,,,!’,,,’-.--.,;!....-,!’.L’,:..”--..—.:.’:-:------:--.’-....-.:-----L~.:l”=-..-.*:.--:7..’->..:...-.-:--.s----:
