PROJECT MANAGEMENT 5

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1、RiskManagementRiskreferstotheeventsthataffecttheachievementofprojectaim/objectives.Risksmaynotbealwaysavoided.RisksVS.Opportunities/Profitability.TheGoalofRiskManagementHavedonealltheworkthatshouldbedonetoensuretheachievementofprojectobjectives.Riskidentification,definition,preve

2、ntion,treatment.CharacteristicsofRiskExistence:theexistenceofriskwillnottransferonman’swill;Uncertaintyofrisks:managerscannotexactlypredictwhenariskmayhappen,andthestrength;Uncertaintyoftheriskconsequences:theconsequencesofriskeventscannotbeaccuratelypredicted.QuantitativeAssessmen

3、tofRiskMainlyrelatedtotheprobabilityofriskoccurrenceandthepotentiallossesoftherisk.Mathematicalexpression:R=f(p,q)Where,Risthesizeortheamountofrisk;pistheprobabilityofoccurrenceofrisk;qrepresentsthevalueofpotentiallossesoftherisk.AttitudestowardsRisksUmbrellamanner:considerallpo

4、ssiblesituations,andthenattachacostofrisks;Ostrichways:self-comfortingtothinkthateverythingcanbewellcoped;Intuitiveway:donotbelievetheobjectiveanalysis,andbelieveonlytheself-subjectivejudgment;Recklessmanner:focusontheuncontrollablerisks.GroupDiscussionCommonprojectrisksinChina;C

5、ommonrisksintheinternationalprojects;Howtodealwiththeserisks.CommonProjectRisksinChinaDelayscausedbythedurationoftheplanning&design,poorgeologicalconditions,badweather,etc.;Increasedprices/costs&decreasedprofits;Accidents&casualtiesPoorqualityUnreasonableclaimCommonRisksintheInt

6、ernationalProjectNaturalrisks,suchastyphoons,landslides,earthquakes,etc.Politicalrisks,war,unrestEconomicrisks,exchangerates,foreignexchangecontrols,discriminatorytaxesBusinessrisks,theowners’reputationProjectRiskIdentificationUnderstandtheprojectrisks,collectandgrasptheinformati

7、on.E.g.theprojecttarget,riskstructure,innerandouterenvironment,affectingtimeandrelativefactors,etc.Risksbreakingdown.Identifythedetailsofarisk.Summarizethelistoftheprojectrisks.MeasurestoDefendtheRisksEstablishtheawarenessofriskandimprovethemanagementlevelInvestigating/researchin

8、gStr