原微软全球副总裁李开复演讲(II)

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1、UbiquitousComputing:AVisionforHowSpeechBecomesMainstreamKai-FuLeeCorporateVicePresidentMicrosoftCorporationPresentedatSpeechTEKOctober29,2002TalkOutlineFourtrendsinthe“DigitalDecade”.NaturalUI(speech&languageUI)Vision.FourtrendsacceleratenaturalUI.Atechnologyro

2、admaptonaturalUI.TheDigitalDecade20011990GUI1985PCComputingRevolutions1995InternetWindowsIE,IISMS-DOSTrendsintheDigitalDecade:EverythingconnectedMorecomputingandcapacity.Ubiquityofconnecteddevices.Structuredcontent.Distributedcomputingplatform.2001:TheDigitalDe

3、cadeMorecomputingandcapacity.Moore’sLawCPU2X/18monthsBandwidth3X/18monthsDiskCapacity3X/18months2001:TheDigitalDecadeMorecomputingandcapacityUbiquityofconnecteddevices.PCs,telephones,smartphones,televisions,cars…Moore’sLawapplieshere!(e.g.,PocketPC,TabletPC)Sta

4、ndardsonhowdevices“talk”toeachotherHTML,HTTP,XML,SOAP,UDDI,WSDL…Metcalfe’sLaw:Valueofnetwork=nodes2.TabletPCs&LaptopsDigitalVideoCameraWebPadsSecurity&SurveillanceVideoConferencingPhone&VoicemailTVAutoPCHiFiAudioGamesPocketPCsInternet2001:TheDigitalDecadeMoreco

5、mputingandcapacityUbiquityofconnecteddevices.Structuredcontent.XML=Universalstandardsfordescribingdata.XMLmakescontent“readable”byprograms.XMLmakescontentmorelikedatabasesthantext.OnPocketPCOnPC2001:TheDigitalDecadeMorecomputingandcapacity.Ubiquityofconnectedde

6、vices.Structuredcontent.DistributedcomputingPlatform.BuiltonStandards(XMLwebservices).WebSoftwareTodayConventionalBrowserBankAccountXMLWebServicesSoftwareConventionalBrowserBankAccountStockTradingPersonalFinancePortalRichApplicationXMLWebServiceXMLWebService20

7、01:TheDigitalDecadeMorecomputingandcapacityUbiquityofconnecteddevices.Structuredcontent.Distributedcomputingplatform.Builtonstandards(XMLwebservices).Transparenttotheend-user.Onedevelopment&executionmodel.Securityandprivacycritical.TalkOutlineFourtrendsinthe“Di

8、gitalDecade”.NaturalUI(speech&languageUI)Vision.FourtrendsacceleratenaturalUI.AtechnologyroadmaptonaturalUI.TheVisionfor“Natural”UIUsersnaturallyarticulatewhattheymean,onany