☆From Data to Model and Back to Data A Bond Portfolio

☆From Data to Model and Back to Data A Bond Portfolio

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时间:2019-07-10

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1、EuropeanJournalofOperationalResearch13412001)261±278www.elsevier.com/locate/dswFromdatatomodelandbacktodata:Abondportfoliomanagementproblema,*bJitkaDupacova,MaridaBertocchiaDepartmentofProbabilityandMathematicalStatistics,CharlesUniversityPrague,Sokolovska83,CZ-18675Prague,Czech

2、RepublicbDepartmentofMathematics,UniversityofBergamo,PiazzaRosate2,I-24129Bergamo,ItalyAbstractThebondportfoliomanagementproblemisformulatedasamultiperiodstochasticprogramusinginterestratescenarios.ThescenariosaresampledfromthebinomiallatticefromaBlack±Derman±Toymodel.Thepaperanaly

3、zesthesensitivityofthesolutionoftheresultinglarge-scalemathematicalprogramwithrespecttothemodelinputs.ThenumericalresultsarefortheItalianbondmarket.Ó2001ElsevierScienceB.V.Allrightsreserved.Keywords:Finance;Stochasticprogramming;Scenarios;Stability;Sensitivityandpost-optimalityanal

4、ysis1.TheproblemandtheinputdataDembo,1993),uptomultistagestochasticpro-grammingmodels1seeZiembaandMulvey,1998),Theproblemconsideredhereistopreservethewhichcanbeusedforcomplexassets/liabilitiesvalueofabondportfolioofariskaverseorriskmanagementproblems1e.g.,Carinoetal.,1994).~neutral

5、institutionalinvestorovertime.ThisisaWhynottorelyontheduration-basedimmu-problemofallocationandmanagementofre-nizationmodels?Agoodansweristhefollowingsources,notoftrading.Itmayincludeadditionalquotation1cf.Kahn,1991):features,e.g.,presenceof®xedoruncertainex-ternalin¯owsorout¯owsin

6、thefutureorare-Manyyearsago,bondswereboring.Returnsquiredbalancebetweenassetsandliabilities.Thereweresmallandsteady.Fixedincomeriskarevariousoptionsconcerningthechoiceofanmonitoringconsistedinwatchingdurationappropriatemodel,startingwithduration-basedandavoidinglowqualities.Butasin

7、terest-immunizationmodels,dedicatedbondportfolioratevolatilityhasincreasedandthevarietymanagementmodels1seeDahletal.,1993),orgoalof®xedincomeinstrumentshasgrown,bothprogrammingtypeofimmunizationmodels1cf.opportunitiesanddangershave¯ourished...*Yieldcurvesarenot¯at,donotmoveinaCorre

8、spondingauthor.E-mailaddre

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