亚洲经济体与人口增长的关系

亚洲经济体与人口增长的关系

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1、ASEANEconomicBulletinVol.22,No.3(2005),pp.314–30ISSN0217-4472TheRelationshipbetweenPopulationandEconomicGrowthinAsianEconomiesWongHockTsenandFumitakaFuruokaThemainaimofthestudyistoinvestigatetherelationshipbetweenpopulationandeconomicgrowthinAsianeconomies.Generally,theresultsoftheJohanse

2、n(1988)andGregoryandHansen(1996)cointegrationmethodsshowthatthereisnolong-runrelationshipbetweenpopulationandeconomicgrowth.Nonetheless,thestudyfindsthatthereisbidirectionalGrangercausalitybetweenpopulationandeconomicgrowthforJapan,Korea,andThailand.ForChina,Singapore,andthePhilippines,po

3、pulationisfoundtoGrangercauseeconomicgrowthandnotviceversa.ForHongKongandMalaysia,economicgrowthisfoundtoGrangercausepopulationandnotviceversa.ForTaiwanandIndonesia,thereisnoevidenceofGrangercausalitybetweenpopulationandeconomicgrowth.Onthewhole,therelationshipbetweenpopulationandeconomic

4、growthisnotstraightforward.Populationgrowthcouldbebeneficialordetrimentaltoeconomicgrowthandeconomicgrowthcouldhaveanimpactonpopulationgrowth.I.Introductionproduct(GDP)percapitawereabletoincrease1(Meier1995,p.276).ThedebatebetweenTheissueofpopulationandeconomicgrowthisaspositiveandnegativ

5、esidesofpopulationgrowtholdaseconomicsitself.Malthus(1798)claimedisongoing.Populationgrowthenlargeslabourthatthereisatendencyforthepopulationgrowthforceand,therefore,increaseseconomicgrowth.ratetosurpasstheproductiongrowthratebecauseAlargepopulationalsoprovidesalargedomesticpopulationincr

6、easesatageometricalratewhileproductionincreasesatanarithmeticrate.Thus,marketfortheeconomy.Moreover,populationtheunfetteredpopulationgrowthinacountrygrowthencouragescompetition,whichinducescouldplungeitintoacutepoverty.However,thetechnologicaladvancementsandinnovations.pessimistviewhaspro

7、venunfoundedforNevertheless,alargepopulationgrowthisnotdevelopedeconomiesinthattheymanagedtoonlyassociatedwithfoodproblembutalsoachieveahighlevelofeconomicgrowthandthus,imposesconstraintsonthedevelopmentofbothpopulationandtherealgrossdomesticsavings,foreignexchangea

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