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1、PROGNOSTICCONTROLANDLOADSURVIVABILITYINSHIPBOARDPOWERSYSTEMSAThesisbyLAURENCEJ.THOMASSubmittedtotheOfficeofGraduateStudiesofTexasA&MUniversityinpartialfulfillmentoftherequirementsforthedegreeofMASTEROFSCIENCEDecember2010MajorSubject:ElectricalEngineeringPROGNOSTI
2、CCONTROLANDLOADSURVIVABILITYINSHIPBOARDPOWERSYSTEMSAThesisbyLAURENCEJ.THOMASSubmittedtotheOfficeofGraduateStudiesofTexasA&MUniversityinpartialfulfillmentoftherequirementsforthedegreeofMASTEROFSCIENCEApprovedby:ChairofCommittee,KarenL.Butler-PurryCommitteeofMember
3、s,DeepaKundurChananSinghLewisNtaimoHeadofDepartment,CostasN.GeorghiadesDecember2010MajorSubject:ElectricalEngineeringiiiABSTRACTPrognosticControlandLoadSurvivabilityinShipboardPowerSystems.(December2010)LaurenceJ.Thomas,B.S.,PrairieViewA&MUniversityChairofAdvisor
4、yCommittee:Dr.KarenL.Butler-PurryInshipboardpowersystems(SPS),itisimportanttoprovidecontinuouspowertovitalloadssothattheirdesiredmissionscanbecompletedsuccessfully.Severalcomponentsexistbetweentheprimarysourceandthevitalloadsuchastransformers,cables,orswitchingde
5、vices.Thesecomponentscanfailduetomechanicalstresses,electricalstresses,andoverloadingwhichcouldleadtoasystemfailure.Ifthenormalpathtoavitalloadcannotsupplypowertoit,thenitshouldbepoweredthroughitsalternatepath.Theprocessofrestoring,balancing,andminimizingpowerlos
6、sestoloadsiscallednetworkreconfiguration.Prognosticsistheabilitytopredictpreciselyandaccuratelytheremainingusefullifeofafailingcomponent.Inthiswork,theprognosticinformationofthepowersystemcomponentsisusedtodetermineifreconfigurationshouldbeperformedifthesystemisu
7、nabletoaccomplishitsmission.EachcomponentwillbeanalyzedusingtheWeibullDistributiontocomputetheconditionalreliabilityfrompresenttimetotheendofthemission.Todetermineifreconfigurationisneeded,allcomponentstoagivenloadwillbeutilizedinstructurefunctionstodetermineifal
8、oadwillbeabletosurviveduringatimeperiod.Structurefunctionsareusedtoshowhowcomponentsareinterconnected,andalsoprovideamathematicalmeansforcomputingthetotalproba