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1、Chapter3:ThePoissonProcess3.1TheExponentialDistributionDefinition:Acontinuousrandomvariable?issaidtohaveexponentialdistributionwithparameter??>0,ifithasp.d.f.??−??,?≥0??=0,?<0orequivalently,withc.d.f.?1−?−??,?≥0??=????=0,?<0−∞PropertiesofExponentialDistributionTh
2、eorem.Exponentialdistributionwiththerate?=1Exponentialdistributionwiththemeanof?Proof:∞??=???−????0∞=?−?−??−∞−?−????\Integrationbypart00∞=0−0−?−??/?01=?PropertiesofExponentialDistributionLet?1,?2,⋯,??bei.i.d.exponentialrandom?variableswithparameter?,then?=?=1??i
3、sgammadistributedwithparameter?and?:????=??−1?−??,?≥0.?Γ?Proof:Homework(hint:inductionon?)PropertiesofExponentialDistributionLet?1and?2beindependentexponentialrandomvariableswithparameter?1and?2,respectively.Then?1??12=?1+?2Proof:??12∞=0??12
4、?2=???2???\con
5、ditionon?2∞−?2?=0??1?2???∞−?1?−?2?=01−??2???\cdfof?1?1=?1+?2PropertiesofExponentialDistributionLet?1,?2,⋯,??bei.i.d.exponentialrandomvariableswithparameter?1,?2,⋯,??,respectively,then?=min?1,?2,⋯,??isexponentially?distributedwithparameter?=?=1??.Proof:??>?=??1
6、>?,?2>?,⋯,??>??=?=1???>?=??−????=1−(??=??=1?)?MemorylessPropertyofExponentialDistributionTheorem.AnexponentiallydistributedrandomvariableXismemoryless.Moreprecisely,forallt0andx0,??>?+?
7、?>?=??>?orEquivalently,??>?+?=??>???>?//Havingwaitedfortunittimes,theresidu
8、al//waitingtimestillhasthesamedistribution.//Or,不要问我等了多久Proof:??>?+??>??(?>?+?,?>?)=\Conditionalprobability?(?>?)?(?>?+?)=\?≥0?(?>?)?−?(?+?)=\Definitionofexp.randomvariables?−??=?−??=?(?>?)\Amemorylessdist.isnon-negative.Thediscreteanalogueisthegeometricdistr
9、ibution.Geometric(p)distribution:??>?+??>?=?(?>?)Homework:YouarewaitingforGodot,whowillarriveontheNthbus,whereNisGeometric(p)distributed.Iftheinter-arrivaltimesofbusesareExponential()i.i.d.,whatisthedistributionofyourwaitingtimeforGodot?UniquenessTheorem.Exponen
10、tialdistributionistheonlycontinuousmemorylessdistribution.Proof:LetXbeanonnegativecontinuousr.v.suchthat??>?+?
11、?>?=??>?forall?≥0and?≥0.Equivalently,??>?+?=??>?