资源描述：
《深论文圳杯(英文)》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。
1、AbstractThispaperpresentsthepopulationsizeandstructureaswellasthemedicalbeddemandsinShenzhenandeverydistrict,byusingtheMATLABsoftwareandthegreydynamicmodel.Meanwhile,throughthesearchofchildrenpneumoniaandcerebrovasculardiseases,weestablishelementaryfunctiontopredictforecastthebedde
2、mandsinmedicalinstitutionsofdifferenttypes.Regardingquestion1,asweknowthepopulationofShenzhenismainlymadeupoftheresidentandnon-residentpopulation.AndtheresidentpopulationinShenzheninthefuturetenyearsisfirstlyforecastedthroughusingtheMATLABsoftwareforpolynomialfitting.Consideringtha
3、tthenon-populationisinfluencedbymanyfactors,weregardthedynamicflowoftheurbanpopulationasagreysystem,andthenweappliedGreyDynamicModel[1]toforecastthefuturedevelopmenttrendofthefloatingpopulationFurthermore,accordingtothedemographicdatagivenintheannexes,thepopulationstructureisdivide
4、dtothreeparts,under14yearsoldaschildren,from14yearsoldto60yearsoldasmiddleage,over60yearsoldastheold.matlab，predictthepopulationstructureinthefuturetenyearsinShenzhen.Moreover,aftergettingthedataaboutmedicalbedsinShenzhenfrom1789to2010bylookingforinformation,andthenwedrawtherelatio
5、nshipbetweenthepopulationandthenumberofthemedicalbedswiththeMATLABsoftware.Finally,accordingtotheproportionofthepopulationinShenzhenandineverydistrict,themedicalbeddemandsinfuturetenyearsispredictedbasedontheaboveanalysis.Consideringquestion2,weselectchildrenwithbronchitisandcerebr
6、ovasculardisease,andthroughfindingtheinformationwegetthemorbidityofShenzhenin2010.Basedonthetotalnumberofthesick,theelementaryfunctionsareestablishedtoobtaintherequirednumberofbedsandpredictthebeddemandsofbothdiseaseainmedicalinstitutionsofdifferenttypes.Keywords:MATLABPolynomialFi
7、ttingGreyDynamicModelPredictionoftheMedicalBeds.IntroductionWiththerapiddevelopmentofeconomyinShenzhen,itshealthcareerhasformedacity,districtandcommunitymedicalservicesystem,whichhassolvedthemedicalproblemsofcurrentpopulationtoacertainextent.HoweverthefloatingpopulationinShenzhenis
8、farmorethanthehouseholdpop
