2019外商直接投资(FDI)信心指数(英文)

2019外商直接投资(FDI)信心指数(英文)

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时间:2019-06-14

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1、ExecutiveSummary•ParadoxespermeatetheForeignDirectInvestment(FDI)ConfidenceIndexresults.Aselaboratedindetailbelow,developedmarketsdominatetheIndex,butinvestorspointtoavarietyofrisingpoliticalandeconomicriskswithinthesemarkets.Whileaveragescoresincreasethemostfor

2、frontierandemergingmarkets,fewofthesemarketsrankamongthetop25countriesforinvestmentintentions.Investorscontinuetoviewrisinggeopoliticaltensionsasaprobableriskthisyearbutremainrelativelybullishontheglobaleconomy.Anddespiteinvestorsconsistentlytellingusinrecentyea

3、rsthattheyplantoincreasetheirlevelsofFDI,therecordedlevelfellonceagainin2018.Inaddition,localismandcitiesarerisinginimpor-tanceinaneraofgrowingnationalism.TheseparadoxesatthegloballevelalsocreatesomeseeminglycounterintuitiveresultsintheIndexrankings.•TheUnitedSt

4、atestopstheIndexfortheseventhyearinarow.TheUnitedStatesmarksitslongest-everrunatthetopoftheIndexthisyear,likelyreflectingitslargedomesticmarket,continuedeconomicexpansion,competitivetaxrates,andtechnologicalandinnovationcapabilities.Recentpolicyvolatilitymaybedi

5、minishingUSattractivenesssomewhat,though,asthescoregapbetweentheUnitedStatesandthenext-highestrankedcountrydecreasesthisyear.•Thetop10likelydestinationsforFDIthisyeararerelativelyconsistentwithlastyear’sresults.Thetop10countriesontheIndexremainunchangedfrom2018,

6、withtheexceptionofSingaporedisplacingSwitzerland.Germanyretakesthenumber-twoposition,whileCanadafallstothird.TheUnitedKingdomholdssteadyinfourthplace,whileFrancerisestocapturefifthplace.AndChinadropstosevenththisyear—itslowestrankinginthe20-yearhistoryoftheIndex

7、.Thisyear,therefore,marksthefirsttimeinwhichthetopfivespotsarealldevelopedmarkets.AsiaPacificmarkets—includingJapan,China,Australia,andSingapore—dominatetherestofthetop10.•DevelopedmarketsdominatetheIndexagain...1Developedmarketsaccountfor22ofthe25spotsontheInde

8、x—hittingtheirhighest-evershareofpositions,evenoutpacinglastyear’srecord.Europeandevelopedmarketsholdsteadyat14spotsthisyear,whiledevelopedmarketsinAsiaPacificincreas

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