Paper - Monte Carlo simulation for reliability文稿

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1、MonteCarloSimulationMethodUsedinReliabilityEvaluationofaLaboratory-basedMicroGridSuYouliandKenNagasaka,Member,IEEEbehaviorofMicroGridshouldbecharacterizedbytheAbstract—ThispaperpresentsanapplicationofMonterandomvariablesofwhichtheCarloSimulationMethod(MCSM)forreliabilityevaluationofalaboratory-ba

2、sedMicroGrid(LMG)byusingofsystemnumberincreasesinproportiontothenumberofrenewablehealth,marginalandriskwhicharethebasicsystemwell-beingenergyresourcesinthesystem.Thereareneededanewindices.Thesystemwell-beinganalysisisanewapproachtoevaluatepowersystemreliability.MCSMappliedforreliabilityapproachto

3、assessthereliabilityofMicroGridbyutilizingevaluationofaLMGgivestheresultsnotonlynumericallybutofwindandsolarpowergenerationaswellasdieselalsographicallywhichensuretheopportunitytoviewthegeneratorwithstoragebatteryindifferentconfigurationforsystemstatemoreprecisely.Itiseasilyunderstoodthefailurefu

4、tureelectricpowersupplyrequirementwithreliability.orderatedsituationofsinglegenerator,orfaultinsystemInthelastfewdecades,thepowersystemoperatorsandnetwork.Basedontheperformedsimulation,alaboratory-isolatedsystemplannersareusedtodealwithanalyticalbasedMicroGridreliabilityevaluationhasbeenobtainedo

5、nwell-beingindicesandshoweditssignificantefficientbythetechniqueinsteadofprobabilisticmethodduetotheresults.difficultyofinterpretasinglenumericalriskindex,suchaslossofenergyexpectation(LOEE)andthelackofsystemIndexTerms—MicroGridreliability,MonteCarloinformationinasingleriskindex.Systemwell-beingS

6、imulation,renewableenergyresources,well-beinganalysisanalysisisanewapproachwhichprovidesabridgebetweenthedeterministicandtheconventionalprobabilisticmethodthathasbeensuccessfullyusedforreliabilityevaluationofaI.INTRODUCTIONsmallsystemwithaconstantloadusingacontingencyThenextgenerationofpowersyste

7、msmustchangeandenumerationapproach[1],[2].adapttoenvironmentalfactors,customerconcerns,andInthispaper,aMonteCarloSimulationMethodappliedreliabilityissues.Asanenvironmentproblemoftheglobalforthereliabilityevaluationofal