防波堤风险分析与管理研究

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1、天津大学博士学位论文防波堤风险分析与管理研究姓名：蒋学炼申请学位级别：博士专业：港口、海岸及近海工程指导教师：李炎保20061201ABSTRACTInmispaper'ttleriskanalysisandmanagement胁eworkofbreal州aterengiIleeringisstudied．TheeValuationSyst锄觚drelatedmodelsarcestablishedtoilltegratethetechnicalindexeswitheconomicindicators

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8、sedmethodsaureprovidedforquantifyingbreal(waterrisk．Anewideaisproposedt0impr0Vetheprecisionofcomputillgfa订ureprobabilitybycombiningMonteCarlosimulationwimtraditionalreliabilitymemod．Intheendofthispart，twocaSestudies，reliability-basedstabi】j妙analysisofrub

9、blemoundbreakwateranddefo咖ation．basedmodelquanti矽ingmeanderingdamageofcaissonbreal(、】忸ter，arepresentedtoveri矽i119锄ddiscussingthe印plicationofriskeValuationtheo哕inbreal(waterengineering．Inthethirdpart，severalmodelsforthedeci