法尔胜集团钢丝制品市场需求预测

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1、南京理工大学硕士学位论文法尔胜集团钢丝制品市场需求预测姓名：韩明瑞申请学位级别：硕士专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：朱正萱20061221硕士论文法尔胜集团钢丝制品市场需求预测AbstractThesteelwireisthenecessityofthenationalinfrastructure，itwasparticularlyneededintraffic，metallurgy，electricalpower，coal，oil，machine．．．etc．Inthelastfewyears，theoutputofourcountrysteelw

2、irehikeyearbyyear，andthestructureaswellcontinuousiyperfect，butthemassqualitystillcontaingapbetweenourcountryandthewestnation，thereforetheoutputwasalwaysdecidedbythesalesinmostlyindustry，fiercemarketcompetition，especiallyChineseintotheWTO。westernregiondevelop，Demandpredictionha

3、sbecameoneofthesubjectsthatthedecisionmakertoconcernmost．Thisthesiswillfirstlydefinethedefinition，function，basicprincipleandcategoriesoftheterm“prediction”andthenmakeacomparisonbetweencommonmethodsusedinpredictingthemarketdemands．Thefundamentalprincipleforpredictingandanalyzin

4、gisthatacertainlawexistsinthedevelopmentofanyeconomiesandcanberecognizedandmasteredbypeople．Forenterprise，thiskindoflawmustalsoexistsinitsdailyoperationsiftakingtherelationshipbetweendifferentfactorsintoaccountant．Basedonactualfacts，thiSthesisfocusesonthestudyofthesalesdataand

5、variouseconomicindexesofthecompanyinrecentyearsandtriestopredictthemarketdemandforsteelwireproductsinthefollowingtwoyears．Thethesisalsomakesabriefanalysisontheinternalandexternalenvironmentasregardstomainfactorsthatinfluencethedevelopmentofacompanyandmakesanobjectiveassessment

6、onthecompany’Scurrentsituationandhistory．0nconsiderationofthesituationofothercompaniesinthesameindustryandallsortsofmarketinformation，theauthorWilladoptcomprehensivemethodssuchastherectiIineartrendextrap01ationmethod，curvetrendextrap01atiOnmethodaswellasgreymodelmethodtomakeap

7、redictiononthemarketdemandofthecompany’Ssteelwireproducts．ThentheauthorwiIImakeanexaminationOntheresultsinaccordancewithmathematicalstatisticsandananalysisonthefeasibilityofthepredictedresultsbasedonthebackgroundofthecompanyandthegeneralindustrialsituation，SOastoprovethatthere

8、sultsarereliable．Finally，someproposalswillbeputforwardanditis