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ID:36475633
大小:2.07 MB
页数:71页
时间:2019-05-11
《后配额时代中国纺织品服装出口增加实证研究》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、北方工业大学硕士学位论文后配额时代中国纺织品服装出口增加实证研究姓名:辛海申请学位级别:硕士专业:数量经济学指导教师:高洪深;姜延书20060420北方丁业大学硕士学位论文AbstractOnJanuary1st,2005,accordingtotheUruguayRoundtextileandtheclothingagreement(AgreementonTextilesandClothing,iscalledATC),theglobaltextilequotasystemcomprehensivecancellation,liberaliza
2、tionoftradethetextileandtheclothingwillcometrue,whichmeansthetextileindustrywillfacethePost—quotaErain2005.ThearticleissetinthePost—quotaErawhichisfacedbyChinesetextileandclothingexport.Researchmeaning,theactualresearchstateofhomeandabmad,theresearchbackground,researchmeaning
3、sandframeofthearticleareincludedintheintroduction;Inthesystematicanalysisoftradequota,thedefinitionsofquotaandpost-quota,thecircusofquotaimplement,theformofimportquotaandquotaprovisionaregiven,andtheinfluenceofimportquotaisanalyzed,alltheselayatheoryfoundationthatChinesetexti
4、leandclothingexportwillnotinceasegreatlyfromtheabrodaspectanalysis;IntheexportcircumstanceofChinesetextileandclothingandthecauseofthis,qualitativeanalysisofChineseTextileandClothingExportisdonefromtheaspectofhomeandabroadandthemaincompetitor,thegametheoryisappliedinthetradebe
5、tweenChinaandAmerican,andthesametoEurope,whichvalidatetheinevitabilityoftheexportagreementssubscribedbetweenChinaandAmerican,Eruope,alltheselayatheoryfoundationfortheconclusion;throughthecomparisonbetweenChinaandIndiawhichisthemainChinesecompetitoroftextileandclothingexport,t
6、heexperienceislearned,thereplymeasuresofOurtextileindustryareanalyzed;ThenintheforecastofChinesetextilemadclothingexportinthepost—quotaera,quantitativeanalysisisdoneforthetextileandclothingexport,byusingautoregressiveintegratedmovingaveragemodelandonthebasisofChinesetextilean
7、dclothingexpogdatafromJanuaryof2000toDecemberof2004,thispapercarriesoutforecastanalysisfortheChinesetextileclothingexporttendencyof2005and2006,fromthequantitativeaspecttheconclusionthatChinesetextileandclothingexportwillnotinceasegreatlyisdrawn;Inthelastofconlusionandsuggesti
8、on,fromtheaspectofqualitativeandquantitativeanalysisalldonebefore,pr
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