基于非线性动力系统理论的企业演化与有限理性博弈行为研究

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1、东南大学博士学位论文基于非线性动力系统理论的企业演化与有限理性博弈行为研究姓名：张骥骧申请学位级别：博士专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：达庆利20080619第三，论文将有限理性、简单理性、非线性成本函数和产品差异等因素引入到经典的古诺模型和伯特兰德模型中，建立有限理性条件下的寡占市场的动态产量博弈模型和动态价格博弈模型，更为贴切实际地描述了寡头企业的产量和价格竞争机制。根据对模型的研究结果，寡占企业可以制定恰当的竞争策略，避免过激的产量和价格竞争所造成混沌的市场状态。关键词：非线性动力系统；企业演化；有限理性；进化博弈；古诺模型；伯特兰德

2、模型IIABSTRACTTopic：StudyofenterpriseevolvementandgamebehaviorwithboundedrationalitybasedontheoryofnonlineardynamicalsystemsStudentName：ZHANGJi-xiangSupervisedby：DAQing·liSubmittedto：SoutheastUniversityRegardingenterpriseasanorganism，makingcomparativestudybetweensurvival，de

3、velopment，anddecision-makingofenterpriseandsomecharactersoforganismhasbecomeimportantmethodstostudyenterprise’Srationalityandbehaviorcurrently．Thisdissertation,justunderthisbackground，fromviewoforgapism，studiescomplicatedphenomenaintheevolvementprocessofenterpriserational

4、ityandbehavior,byusingtheoryofnonlineardynamicalsystemandresearchresultsinfieldssuchasgametheory,ecology,psychologyandorganizationalbehaviorscience．Thedissertationisorganizedasfollows：Chapter1isapreface．Chapter2makesstabilityanalysisondynamicevolutionofenterprisesclusterb

5、yusingLogisticequationinbiologicalpopulationtheory．Chapter3simulatesdynamicadjustmentofstrategyofboundedrationalityplayerinsymmetricalgamebyusing‘‘duplicativedynamicsystem’’ofbiologicevolutionandestablishesthedynamicequationsofsymmetricalevolutionarygame．Chapter4considers

6、outputgameoftwooligarchieswithelementssuchasboundedrationality,differentcost．functionanddiscussesstabilityconditionofNash-equilibriumofgame．Chapter5introducesboundedrationalityandproductsdifferenceintotraditionalBertrandmodelandstudiesstabilityofnewmodel．Theninvestigatesw

7、hat’Sinfluencewillbecausedbyoligarchies’boundedrationalitytoresultofpricegame．Chapter6，theconclusionandfurtherresearchorientationaredriven．Theinnovationsinthisdissertationare：(1)Comparingenterprisesclusterwithbiologicalpopulations，relationsofenterprisesclusterareinvestiga

8、tedbytheoriesofenterprisesclusterandbiologicalpopulations．Enterprisesclusterisregardedasacomplic