供应链风险的管理与控制研究

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1、西南交通大学博士学位论文供应链风险的管理与控制研究姓名：易海燕申请学位级别：博士专业：物流工程指导教师：叶怀珍20070901第1l页西南交通大学博士研究生学位论文具有良好的理论指导和实践参考作用。关键词：供应链风险管理；风险值；中断风险；预测风险；期权西南交通大学博士研究生学位论文第1lI页AbstractBecauseoftheanfractuositiesofstructure，instabilityofenvironment，managerspursuingleansupplychainandneglectingriskmanageme

2、nt，andsoon，supplychainishavingbeenmoreandmoresubjecttoaffectedbyallkindsofrisks．Thereweremanycasesaboutsupplychainrisks．Theytellus。oncesomecertainriskreallyhappens，itwillcausehugedamageandincalculableloss，eventhoroughdisruptionofsupplychain．Managing&controllingsupplychainris

3、keffectivelymakesupplychainmoreresilient．Aresilientsupplychainismorerobustsothatitcanmitigateevenavoidthelosscausedbyrisk．Italsocanimproveoperationefficiencyofsupplychainandreducethecostofsupplychain，whicharehelpfultothecontinuousdevelopmentofcorporation．So，it’ssignificantin

4、practicetomanagingandcontrollingsupplychainrisk．Firstly,hepaperstudiessometheoriesaboutsupplychainriskmanagement；analyzethederiversofsupplychainriskssystematically．Basedonformeranalysis，theauthorclassifiesthesesupplychainrisks；studiestheprocessandmethodsofmanaging＆controllin

5、gsupplyrisk；thenconstructstheriskevaluationmodelwithValReofRisk．Disruptionriskandforecastriskaretwomostimportantsupplychainrisks，sothepaperstudiesthesetworisksspecially．Inthefaceofdisruptionrisk，weshouldconstructtheresilientsupplychainbasedontheideaof“Just-in-Case”．Inchapter

6、4，theauthorstudiestheprinciplesandprocessofconstructingresilientsupplychainanddesignsdifferentmodelofresilientsupplychain．Forforecastrisksputforwardinchapter5，thepaperinvestigatesthemitigatingmeasurestoadverseselectionandmoralhazardproblems，whichincludeinformationsharing．Ino

7、rdertosolvetheproblemofprisoner’sdilemmaduringinformationsharinginsupplychain，thepaperputforwardtoaseriesofmethodsandconstructsmanagerialincentivemodelofinformationsharingbasedonmultiobjectivetheoryandmanagerialincentivetheory．Reasonabledistributionofrisk，benefitandcostinsup

8、plychainaffectstheoperationofsupplychainriskmanagement．Inchapter6，thepaperd