我国财政政策与货币政策及其配合效应分析

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1、西北大学博士学位论文我国财政政策与货币政策及其配合效应分析姓名：张龙申请学位级别：博士专业：政治经济学指导教师：贾明德20100601中文摘要策同时扩张要强于各自单独的扩张对宏观经济目标变量GDP的影响，而同时扩张对CPI的影响要弱于单独的扩张影响；并且财政政策和货币政策对投资的影响大于对消费的影响，对进口的影响大于对出口的影响。本文的创新性主要表现在三个方面：一是在对国内数据的分析方法方面是一种创新；二是通过建立联立方程分析财政政策与货币政策配合效应，这在研究思路上具有新意，研究方法是一种尝试和探索；三是利用模型对财政政策和货币政策效应全

2、面综合系统分析，方法具有科学性，其结果更具现实意义，提出关于财政政策和货币政策配合的建议也具有针对性，这是在提高政策科学性方面的创新。关键字：财政政策与货币政策，效应，汉森模型，结构向量自回归模型，联立方程模型西北大学博I-J?学位论文AbstractThirtyyearssincethereformandopeningup．China’seconomyhasbeengrowing、砸tllanaverageannualgrowthrateof9．8percent．accompaniedwithfairlyobviousfluctuantc

3、ycle．Inthemacro—controloftheeconomy,fiscalandmonetarypolicyhasplayedanimportantroleinstabilizingpricesandpromotingthehealthydevelopmentofChineseeconomy．Especiallysince1992．withthedeterminationofeconomicsystemreforrngoalthatistobuildsocialistmarketeconomicsystem，thefunction

4、offiscalandmonetarypolicyhasbecomemoreandmoreimportantandirreplaceableinmanyways．suchasfightingthesevereinflation．achievingtheeconomic”softlanding”．geRingridoftheinfluenceofthe“Asianfinancialcrisis”．dealingwiththedomesticexcess1iquidityandsevereimpactofintemationalfinancia

5、lcrisisonChineseeconomy-andinsuringnationaleconomicsteadyandfastgrowth．Therefore．studyingfiscalandmonetarypoliciesandtheircoordinationeffectcanhelptopredictthemacroeconomicsituationandprovidereferencesforthescientificdecision．Thisdissertationfirstcombsandreviewstheconsider

6、ableamountofliteratureonfiscalandmonetarypolicyathomeandabroad，thenanalyzessystematicallytherelevanttheories，andsummarizesthepracticehistoryoffscalandmonetarypolicies．Accordingtothestudiesabove．itestablishesaneconometricmodelabouttheefrectoffiscalpolicyandmonetarypolicy．Th

7、roughthecollectionofdataandthecorrespondingparameterestimationofmodel。thisdissertationmakesanobjectiveconclusionaboutfiscalandmonetarypoliciesandtheircoordinationeffects．Finally,thisdissertationevaluatesthefiscalandmonetarypolicyanditscoordinationeffectsandputsforwardtheco

8、rrespondingpolicyrecommendations．Intheaspectoffiscalpolicyeffect．thecontributionrateofeco