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1、NaturalResourcesResearch,Vol.20,No.4,December2011(Ó2011)DOI:10.1007/s11053-011-9147-zHaynesvilleShaleWellPerformanceandDevelopmentPotential1,21MarkJ.KaiserandYunkeYuReceived17June2011;accepted6August2011Publishedonline:2September2011LouisianaÕsHaynesvilleShaleisoneofseveralunc
2、onventionalgasplaysthathavebeendiscoveredintheU.S.inrecentyearsandpromisetodramaticallychangethecourseoffuturedomesticenergydevelopment.TheHaynesvilleShaleisthedeepest,hottest,andhighestpressuredshaleamongthebigfourplaysintheU.S.withdrillingandcompletioncostrangingbetween$7and
3、$10millionperwell.TheaverageHaynesvillewellhasaninitialproductionrateof10MMcfdanddeclinesrapidly,producing80%ofitsexpectedrecoveryduringthefirst2yearsofproduction.Thepurposeofthisarticleistodescribethepro-ductivitycharacteristicsofHaynesvillewells,projectfutureproductionfromthe
4、inventoryofactivewells,andassessproductionpotentialbasedondrillingscenarios.Weofferstatisticalanalysisofthewellsdrilledtodateandconstructtypeprofilestocharacterizetheplay.WeestimatethatthecurrentinventoryofHaynesvillewellswillproduce3Tcfovertheirlife-cycles,andwithinthenext3yea
5、rs,cumulativebuild-outintheregionwillrangebetween3and9Tcf.Tomaintaincurrentgasproductionlevelsinthestate,weestimatethatabout550shalegaswellsperyearwillneedtobebroughtonlineoverthenext3years.KEYWORDS:Drillingscenarios,expectedultimaterecovery,wellperformance,welltypes.GEOLOGYAN
6、DRESERVOIRbytheBossierShalefollowedbytheCottonValleyCHARACTERISTICSSandstoneFormation.ItisunderlainbytheCottonValleyLimestoneinTexasandtheSmackoverTheHaynesvilleShaleisoneofseveraluncon-LimestoneinLouisiana(Thompsonetal.2010).ventionalgasplaysthathavebeendiscoveredintheTheHayn
7、esvilleShaleisthedeepest,hottest,U.S.inrecentyearsandpromisetodramaticallyandhighestpressuredshaleamongthebigfourplayschangethecourseoffuturedomesticenergydevel-(theothersbeingBarnett,Fayetteville,andMar-opment(U.S.DepartmentofEnergy2009).Thecellus)intheU.S.WellstargetingtheHa
8、ynesvilleHaynesvilleShaleplaycoversasurfaceareaofShalearetypi
