北大暑期课程《回归分析报告》(linear regression analysis)讲义pku8

北大暑期课程《回归分析报告》(linear regression analysis)讲义pku8

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时间:2019-03-06

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1、实用文案Class8:polynomialregressionanddummyvariablesI.PolynomialRegressionPolynomialregressionisaminortopic.Becausethereislittlethatisnew.Whatisnewisthatyoumaywanttocreateanewvariablefromthesamedataset.Thisisnecessaryifyouthinkthatthetrueregressionfunctionisnotlinearbutquadra

2、tic,youmightwanttotrytousethequadraticfunction,thatis,thefirstandthesecondorderregressors.Forexample,weknowthatearningsincreasesasafunctionofage.Buttherelationshipisnotlinear.Therefore,weregressearningsonageandage2.Oneimportanttrickisthatifyouhavepolynomialregression,ther

3、egressionlineisnolongerlinearwhenyouplotthedependentvariableagainstindependentvariable.Useahypotheticalexample,Ifweobtainhasalineareffect,hasaquadraticeffect.Ifyouareaskedtoplotagainstthelineislinear.Ifyouareaskedtoplotagainst,thelineisquadratic.Saythesamplemeanofis0.5012

4、358InterpretationofcoefficientsinquadraticequationsSayimportant:thereisnosimplerelationshipbetweenand.Sometime,theeffectofonispositive,sometimestheeffectofonisnegative.Inotherwords,theeffectofondependsonthevalueof.Suggestion:plottheregressionforthedatarange.Onethingwecant

5、ell:Whenb2>0,theeffectofonincreaseswith;Whenb2<0,theeffectofondecreaseswith.[figure]II.InterpretationofCoefficientsinPolynomialRegressionRelationshipbetweenYandthe“polynomial”independentvariableisnolongerlinear.Recallaspecialpropertyofthelinearfunction:therelationshipbetw

6、eenYandanX(sayXk)isconstantforallvaluesofthisXandotherXvariables:(1).标准实用文案Inapolynomialregression,thissimplerelationshipnolongerholdstrue.Foraquadraticregression,forexample,(2)wehave(3),whichisdependentonthevalueofXk.Ingeneral,thesituationwhereasimplelinearrelationshipof

7、equation(1)isnottrueiscalled“interaction”,atopictowhichwewilldevotealecture.Fornow,letusdefineinteractionasthesituationwherethe“effect”ofanindependentvariabledependsonthevalueofanothervariable.Inpolynomialregressionsinvolvinganindependentvariableofanorderhigherthan1(i.e.,

8、quadraticorhigher),wecaninterpretthisasanimplicitinteractionofavariablewithitself.Example,earnin

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