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1、InformationScienceandStatisticsSeriesEditors:M.JordanJ.KleinbergB.Scho¨lkopfInformationScienceandStatisticsChristopherM.BishopAkaikeandKitagawa:ThePracticeofTimeSeriesAnalysis.Bishop:PatternRecognitionandMachineLearning.Cowell,Dawid,Lauritzen,andSpiegelhalter:ProbabilisticNetworksandExper
2、tSystems.Doucet,deFreitas,andGordon:SequentialMonteCarloMethodsinPractice.Fine:FeedforwardNeuralNetworkMethodology.PatternRecognitionandHawkinsandOlwell:CumulativeSumChartsandChartingforQualityImprovement.Jensen:BayesianNetworksandDecisionGraphs.MachineLearningMarchette:ComputerIntrusionD
3、etectionandNetworkMonitoring:AStatisticalViewpoint.RubinsteinandKroese:TheCross-EntropyMethod:AUnifiedApproachtoCombinatorialOptimization,MonteCarloSimulation,andMachineLearning.Studený:ProbabilisticConditionalIndependenceStructures.Vapnik:TheNatureofStatisticalLearningTheory,SecondEditio
4、n.Wallace:StatisticalandInductiveInferencebyMinimumMassageLength.ChristopherM.BishopF.R.Eng.AssistantDirectorMicrosoftResearchLtdCambridgeCB30FB,U.K.cmbishop@microsoft.comhttp://research.microsoft.com/cmbishopSeriesEditorsThisbookisdedicatedtomyfamily:MichaelJordanProfessorJonKleinbergBe
5、rnhardScho¨lkopfDepartmentofComputerDepartmentofComputerMaxPlanckInstituteforScienceandDepartmentScienceBiologicalCyberneticsJenna,Mark,andHughofStatisticsCornellUniversitySpemannstrasse38UniversityofCalifornia,Ithaca,NY1485372076Tu¨bingenBerkeleyUSAGermanyBerkeley,CA94720USALibraryofCong
6、ressControlNumber:2006922522ISBN-10:0-387-31073-8ISBN-13:978-0387-31073-2Printedonacid-freepaper.2006SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,LLCAllrightsreserved.Thisworkmaynotbetranslatedorcopiedinwholeorinpartwithoutthewrittenpermissionofthepublisher(SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,LLC,233SpringSt
7、reet,NewYork,NY10013,USA),exceptforbriefexcerptsinconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysis.Useinconnectionwithanyformofinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdevelopedisforbidden.Theu