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《Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff - This Time Is Different_ Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (2009, Princeton University Press)》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、THISTIMEISDIFFERENTEightCenturiesofFinancialFolly,,"CARMENM.REINHARTKENNETHS.ROGOFF/1PrincetonUnive!styPressPrincetonandOxfordCopyright©2009byPrincetonUniversityPressPublishedbyPrincetonUniversityPress,41WilliamStreet,Princeton,NewJersey08540IntheUnitedKingdom:PrincetonUniversity
2、Press,6OxfordStreet,Woodstock,OxfordshireOX20ITWAllRightsReservedLibraryofCongressCataloging..in..PublicationDataReinhart,CarmenM.Thistimeisdifferent:eightcenturiesoffinancialfollyICarmenM.Reinhart,KennethS.Rogoff.p.em,Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex.ISBN978..0..691..14
3、216..6(hardcover:alk.paper)1.Financialcrises--Casestudies.2.Fiscalpolicy-Casestudies.3.Businesscycles--Casestudies.I.Rogoff,KennethS.II.Title.HB3722.R452009338.5'42--dc222009022616BritishLibraryCataloging..in..PublicationDataisavailableThisbookhasbeencomposedinGoudytextwithTradeG
4、othicandCenturyitalicbyPrincetonEditorialAssociates,Inc.,Scottsdale,ArizonaPrintedonacid..freepaper.00press.princeton.eduPrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica910ToWilliamReinhart,JulianaRogoff,andGabrielRogoffCONTENTSLISTOFTABLESxiiiLISTOFFIGURESxviiLISTOFBOXESxxiiiPREFACExxvACKNOWLE
5、DGMENTSxxxviiPREAMBLE:SOMEINITIALINTUITIONSONFINANCIALFRAGILITYANDTHEFICKLENATUREOFCONFIDENCExxxixPARTIFinancialCrises:AnOperationalPrimer11VarietiesofCrisesandTheirDates3CrisesDefinedbyQuantitativeThresholds:Inflation,CurrencyCrashes,andDebasement4CrisesDefinedbyEvents:BankingCr
6、isesandExternalandDomesticDefault8OtherKeyConcepts142DebtIntolerance:TheGenesisofSerialDefault21DebtThresholds21CONTENTSMeasuringVulnerability25ClubsandRegions27ReflectionsonDebtIntolerance293AGlobalDatabaseonFinancialCriseswithaLong...TermView34Prices,ExchangeRates,CurrencyDebas
7、ement,andRealGDP35GovernmentFinancesandNationalAccounts39PublicDebtandItsComposition40GlobalVariables43CountryCoverage43PARTIISovereignExternalDebtCrises494ADigressionontheTheoreticalUnderpinningsofDebtCrises51SovereignLending54IlliquidityversusInsolvency59PartialDefaultandResche
8、duling61OdiousDebt63DomesticPublicDebt64
