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1、ARANDOMWALKDOWNWALLSTREETARANDOMWALKDOWNWALLSTREETTheTime-TestedStrategyforSuccessfulInvestingBURTONG.MALKIELW.W.NORTON&COMPANYNewYork•LondonCopyright©2011,2007,2003,1999,1996,1990,1985,1981,1975,1973byW.W.Norton&Company,Inc.Thearticleonpage324entitled“RedFa
2、cesinPark”appearscourtesyofThomsonReuters.Allrightsreserved.RepublicationorredistributionofThomsonReuterscontent,includingbyframingorsimilarmeans,isexpresslyprohibitedwithoutthepriorwrittenconsentofThomsonReuters.ThomsonReutersanditslogoareregisteredtrademar
3、ksortrademarksoftheThomsonReutersgroupofcompaniesaroundtheworld.©ThomsonReuters2009.ThomsonReutersjournalistsaresubjecttoanEditorialHandbook,whichrequiresfairpresentationanddisclosureofrelevantinterests.AllrightsreservedForinformationaboutpermissiontoreprodu
4、ceselectionsfromthisbook,writetoPermissions,W.W.Norton&Company,Inc.,500FifthAvenue,NewYork,NY10110LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataMalkiel,BurtonGordon.ArandomwalkdownWallStreet:thetime-testedstrategyforsuccessfulinvesting/BurtonG.Malkiel.p.cm.R
5、ev.ed.ISBN:978-0-393-08169-51.Investments.2.Stocks.3.Randomwalks(Mathematics)I.Title.HG4521.M2842011332.601’519282—dc222010041866W.W.Norton&Company,Inc.500FifthAvenue,NewYork,N.Y.10110www.wwnorton.comW.W.Norton&CompanyLtd.CastleHouse,75/76WellsStreet,LondonW
6、1T3QTTONANCYANDSKIPPERCONTENTSPrefaceAcknowledgmentsfromEarlierEditionsPartOneSTOCKSANDTHEIRVALUE1.FIRMFOUNDATIONSANDCASTLESINTHEAIRWhatIsaRandomWalk?InvestingasaWayofLifeTodayInvestinginTheoryTheFirm-FoundationTheoryTheCastle-in-the-AirTheoryHowtheRandomWal
7、kIstoBeConducted2.THEMADNESSOFCROWDSTheTulip-BulbCrazeTheSouthSeaBubbleWallStreetLaysanEggAnAfterword3.SPECULATIVEBUBBLESFROMTHESIXTIESINTOTHENINETIESTheSanityofInstitutionsTheSoaringSixtiesTheNew“NewEra”:TheGrowth-Stock/New-IssueCrazeSynergyGeneratesEnergy:
8、TheConglomerateBoomPerformanceComestotheMarket:TheBubbleinConceptStocksTheNiftyFiftyTheRoaringEightiesTheReturnofNewIssuesConceptsConquerAgain:TheBiotechnologyBubbleZZZZBestBubbleofAllWhatDoesIt
