成网条件下高速铁路列车开行方案调整对转移客运需求的影响-研究

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1、ABSTRACTInordertoimprovethemarketcompetitivenessofrailwaytransport，ourcountrydevelopsthehigh—speedrailwayrapidly．Accordingtothelong—termrailwaydevelopmentplan，by2020，thehigh-speedrailwaynetworkinChinawillcovermostofthelargeandmediumsizecities，basedonthe4north．southlinesand4east

2、—westlinesplanandtheurbanrailrapidpassengertransportsystem，makingtherailwaytransportcapacitymeettherequirementoftheeconomicdevelopmentwell．Asanewtransportmode，afterthehigh—speedrailwayenteringthepassengertransportmarket，itinfluencesthenumberofpassengerswhousedtotakethetradition

3、altransportmodestosomeextent．Byusingitsadvantages，thehigh—speedrailwaywillattractalargenumberofpassengers．Atthesametime，theadjustmentoftheoperationplanofthehigh—speedrailwaymayalsoinfluencethepassengersattractingbythe1ligh-speedrail．Duetothefactthatalotoftrainsoperatebetweenthe

4、high-speedrailwaylineandtheexistingrailwaylineundertheconditionofthehigh—speedrailwaynetwork，thereasonableoperationrangeoftheoff-linetrainisanimportantproblemtobeaddressedfacingbytheoff-linetraintransportorganization．Basedonthehigh—speedrailwaynetwork，theresearchontheinfluences

5、thattheoperationplanadjustmentsmakeonthepassengerdemandareconductedinthepaper．Themainworksareasfollow：1．Combinningthepassengerdemandformationmechanismandthetechnology-economiccharacteristicsofthepassengertransportmode，thefeaturesofthepassengerdemandofthehigh-speedrailwayisanaly

6、zed．2．Differenttypesofthepassengertransportmodesamongcitiesareanalyzed．Meanwhile，thehigh—speedrailwayoff-linetrainoperationmodeisintroduced．Accordingtotheutilitymaximizationtheory,thePathSizeLogit(PSL)modelwhichmodifiestheoverlappingpathproblemoftheoff-linetraintransportfromlot

7、softransportmodesharingratesforecastmodelischosen．Atransportmodechoiceutilityfunctionissetup，andverifiedbyarealcaseoftheWuhan—Guangzhouhigh—speedrailway,inordertocalculatethepassengertrafficsharingratesofdifferenttransportmodes．3．Undertheconditionsofthehigh—speedrailwaynetwork，

8、basedOntheresultsofdifferenttransportmodescalculatedby