塔里木河干流水资源合理配置模式-研究

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1、西安理工大学硕士学位论文andsevensituationsofthewaterresourcesallocation．(4)Accordingtothenodemapandwaterresourcesallocationprinciple，weestablishthewaterresourcesrationalallocationmodelofTarimriverbasinandusesimulationoptimizationman—machineconversationalgorithmtOs

2、olvethemodel．(5)Scenel,currentsituationin2010，agriculturalandecologicalwatersupplyarefarlessthanthedesignrequirements；Scene4，2020istheplanninglevelyearofrecommendedscene．Byadjustmentcalculation．agriculturalwatersupplyreliabilitywillreach75．5％，basically

3、meetingthedesignrequirements．theriverecologicalassuranceis51．8％，DaXiHaiZitheaverageecologicalreleasewateris350millionm3，guarantyis50．1％，DaXiHaiZiecological≈vaterSuppl：(’i‘n’totalaveragealthoughmeetsthedesignvalue，reliabilityis50％designreliabilityrequir

4、ements，butitsdryyearcontinuousforfiveyearsandecologicalguaranteeisstillunsatisfactory；Scene7，2030isplanninglevelyearofrecommendedscene．Byadjustmentcalculation，agriculturalwatersupplyreliabilitywillreach79％，meetingthedesignrequirements，theriverecologica

5、lassuranceis57％，meetingthedesignrequirements，DaXiHaiZitheaverageecologicalreleasewateris350millionm3．guarantyis51％．DaXiHaiZiecologicalwatersupplynotonlyinthetotalaveragemeetsthedesignvalue，butalsoreliabilityreaches50％designreliabilityrequirements，theco

6、ntinuousdryyearssignificantlyreduces，agricultureandecologicalwaterreachesthedesigntarget，anditimprovesecologicalenvironmentofTarimriver．Keywords：Tarimriver；Mortetwaveletanalysis；Therationalallocationofwaterresources；Adaptiveiterativemethods；Simulationo

7、ptimizationman—machineconversationalgorithmsIV目录目录1§者论⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．11．1研究背景⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．11．2研究目的意义⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．11．3研究进展⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．2．1．3．1流域水资源配置研究进展⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯21．

8、3．2塔里木河流域水资源配置研究进展⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯31．4塔河流域现行水量分配政策实施效果评价⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．51．4．1塔河现行水量分配政策⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯51．4．2塔河现行水量分配政策实施效果⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯61．5研究内容⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．71．6技术路线⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．81．7本章小结⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯